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Darren Elkins vs. Tristan Connelly

UFC 19-12-0 vs. 1-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
19-12-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
42
AgeΔ 2 yrs
40
5'10"
HeightΔ 0"
5'10"
71"
ReachΔ 3"
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2.4
Layoff (months)Δ 51.3 mo
53.7
LLWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Darren Elkins hunts takedowns — 2.86 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.17 Featherweight norm.
Darren Elkins is a submission threat — 1.07 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Featherweight norm.
Tristan Connelly rarely shoots — 0.33 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.17 Featherweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Darren Elkins

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1911
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.15 · 19 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 41 documented bouts

In the UFC: 13-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Tristan Connelly

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 12
Tier 3 — regional circuit 137

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.38 · 1 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

11903.39/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
1493.31/min · norm 3.52
11743.34/min · norm 3.50
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
1332.96/min · norm 3.50
38.4%norm 44.7%
Striking accuracy
51.0%norm 44.7%
51.1%norm 54.8%
Striking defense
50.9%norm 54.8%
20.09/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Darren Elkins

Distance 75.9% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 11.7% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 12.4% (norm 6.5%)

Tristan Connelly

Distance 68.5% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 18.2% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 13.4% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Darren Elkins

Head 86.2% (norm 77.5%) · Body 11.6% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 2.2% (norm 7.9%)

Tristan Connelly

Head 83.2% (norm 77.5%) · Body 10.6% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Elkins L/AAccFeatherweight med Connelly L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 685 / 2350 29.1% 40.5% 79 / 200 39.5% 40.5%
In the clinch 242 / 363 66.7% 70.5% 39 / 53 73.6% 70.5%
On the ground 263 / 385 68.3% 69.3% 31 / 39 79.5% 69.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 904 / 2672 33.8% 37.1% 109 / 243 44.9% 37.1%
To the body 235 / 359 65.5% 68.0% 22 / 31 71.0% 68.0%
To the legs 51 / 67 76.1% 80.3% 18 / 18 too few to rate 80.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 127 fighters · Featherweight: 127 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Elkins L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Connelly L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 819 / 1927 42.5% 39.3% 72 / 200 36.0% 39.3%
In the clinch 167 / 228 73.2% 70.3% 42 / 49 85.7% 70.3%
On the ground 188 / 246 76.4% 69.4% 19 / 22 too few to rate 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 857 / 1997 42.9% 35.9% 97 / 221 43.9% 35.9%
To the body 182 / 245 74.3% 68.0% 33 / 46 71.7% 68.0%
To the legs 135 / 159 84.9% 81.5% 3 / 4 too few to rate 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
6733.8% acc · 2.86/15 · norm 1.17
Takedowns landed
114.3% acc · 0.33/15 · norm 1.17
3256.1% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
1260.0% def · norm 61.5%
129:0236.8% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
8:0217.9% of cage time · norm 16.5%
53:552:18 per 15 · norm 3:11
Time under control lower is better
20:536:57 per 15 · norm 3:11
251.07/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
10.33/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Elkins has more cage time on record.