BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Danny Roberts vs.
Nathan Coy

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-7-0 Danny Roberts · UFC
1-2-0 Nathan Coy · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-7-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
39.1
AgeΔ 8.9 yrs
48
6'1"
HeightΔ 3"
5'10"
74"
ReachΔ 5"
69"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
36.5
Layoff (months)Δ 75.2 mo
111.7
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Nathan Coy hunts takedowns — 3.39 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Nathan Coy owns the mat — in control 37% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Danny Roberts rarely shoots — 0.24 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Danny Roberts

Full career not yet synced for Danny Roberts — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Nathan Coy

Full career not yet synced for Nathan Coy — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4053.18/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
713.21/min · norm 3.17
4743.72/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
522.35/min · norm 3.06
39.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
39.4%norm 44.9%
51.0%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
69.0%norm 55.25%
30.35/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Danny Roberts

Distance 80.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.1% (norm 8.1%)

Nathan Coy

Distance 80.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 7.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 12.2% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Danny Roberts

Head 78.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 8.4%)

Nathan Coy

Head 81.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.9% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Roberts L/AAccWelterweight med Coy L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 262 / 823 31.8% 38.6% 42 / 145 29.0% 38.6%
In the clinch 82 / 118 69.5% 67.8% 9 / 13 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 61 / 83 73.5% 67.2% 20 / 22 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 233 / 800 29.1% 37.2% 46 / 146 31.5% 37.2%
To the body 106 / 146 72.6% 70.7% 19 / 25 76.0% 70.7%
To the legs 66 / 78 84.6% 82.9% 6 / 9 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Roberts L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Coy L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 315 / 731 43.1% 39.0% 39 / 146 26.7% 39.0%
In the clinch 105 / 159 66.0% 68.9% 9 / 14 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 54 / 77 70.1% 68.0% 4 / 8 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 336 / 774 43.4% 35.6% 36 / 144 25.0% 35.6%
To the body 92 / 137 67.2% 69.6% 11 / 18 too few to rate 69.6%
To the legs 46 / 56 82.1% 82.1% 5 / 6 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

29.5% acc · 0.24/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
571.4% acc · 3.39/15 · norm 1.27
2357.5% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
562.5% def · norm 63.9%
19:1015.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
8:0736.7% of cage time · norm 18.5%
34:184:02 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
0:440:29 per 15 · norm 3:15
20.24/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Roberts has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.