BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Danny Roberts vs.
Francisco Trinaldo

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-7-0 Danny Roberts · UFC
18-8-0 Francisco Trinaldo · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-7-0
UFC record
18-8-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
39.1
AgeΔ 8.9 yrs
48
6'1"
HeightΔ 4"
5'9"
74"
ReachΔ 4"
70"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
36.5
Layoff (months)Δ 9.7 mo
46.2
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Danny Roberts rarely shoots — 0.24 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Francisco Trinaldo rarely shoots — 0.98 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Danny Roberts

Full career not yet synced for Danny Roberts — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Francisco Trinaldo

Full career not yet synced for Francisco Trinaldo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 11-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4053.18/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
10093.13/min · norm 3.42
4743.72/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
8602.67/min · norm 3.37
39.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
45.2%norm 43.5%
51.0%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
60.7%norm 56.3%
30.35/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
50.23/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Danny Roberts

Distance 80.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.1% (norm 8.1%)

Francisco Trinaldo

Distance 80.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 9.1% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Danny Roberts

Head 78.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 8.4%)

Francisco Trinaldo

Head 77.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Roberts L/AAccWelterweight med Trinaldo L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 262 / 823 31.8% 38.6% 703 / 1789 39.3% 37.9%
In the clinch 82 / 118 69.5% 67.8% 168 / 238 70.6% 67.3%
On the ground 61 / 83 73.5% 67.2% 138 / 203 68.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 233 / 800 29.1% 37.2% 616 / 1723 35.8% 35.0%
To the body 106 / 146 72.6% 70.7% 277 / 375 73.9% 69.1%
To the legs 66 / 78 84.6% 82.9% 116 / 132 87.9% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Roberts L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Trinaldo L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 315 / 731 43.1% 39.0% 679 / 1932 35.1% 38.9%
In the clinch 105 / 159 66.0% 68.9% 100 / 134 74.6% 68.6%
On the ground 54 / 77 70.1% 68.0% 81 / 125 64.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 336 / 774 43.4% 35.6% 442 / 1598 27.7% 35.1%
To the body 92 / 137 67.2% 69.6% 249 / 390 63.8% 68.1%
To the legs 46 / 56 82.1% 82.1% 169 / 203 83.3% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

29.5% acc · 0.24/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
2142.0% acc · 0.98/15 · norm 1.38
2357.5% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
4460.3% def · norm 64.0%
19:1015.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
64:5920.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
34:184:02 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
54:562:33 per 15 · norm 2:46
20.24/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
110.51/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Trinaldo has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.