BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Danny Castillo vs.
Tim Means

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-7-0 Danny Castillo · UFC
15-14-0 (1 NC) Tim Means · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-7-0
UFC record
15-14-0 (1 NC)
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
46.9
AgeΔ 4.4 yrs
42.5
5'9"
HeightΔ 5"
6'2"
71"
ReachΔ 4"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
127.6
Layoff (months)Δ 105.6 mo
22
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Danny Castillo hunts takedowns — 2.68 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Danny Castillo owns the mat — in control 38% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Tim Means outworks the Welterweight division — 5.04 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Danny Castillo

Full career not yet synced for Danny Castillo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Tim Means

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1514
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 163

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.85 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 25 finish wins over 52 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4712.72/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
14575.04/min · norm 3.17
3692.13/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
10553.65/min · norm 3.06
43.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
49.1%norm 44.9%
61.5%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
60.2%norm 55.25%
20.17/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
110.57/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Danny Castillo

Distance 72.6% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 19.6% (norm 8.0%)

Tim Means

Distance 84.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 9.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.8% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Danny Castillo

Head 82.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.0% (norm 7.9%)

Tim Means

Head 74.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Castillo L/AAccLightweight med Means L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 267 / 788 33.9% 37.9% 1116 / 2495 44.7% 38.6%
In the clinch 72 / 84 85.7% 67.3% 202 / 270 74.8% 67.8%
On the ground 132 / 213 62.0% 69.1% 139 / 203 68.5% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 312 / 894 34.9% 35.0% 885 / 2197 40.3% 37.2%
To the body 70 / 93 75.3% 69.1% 409 / 594 68.9% 70.7%
To the legs 89 / 98 90.8% 81.9% 163 / 177 92.1% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Castillo L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Means L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 306 / 866 35.3% 38.9% 899 / 2384 37.7% 39.0%
In the clinch 32 / 55 58.2% 68.6% 102 / 162 63.0% 68.9%
On the ground 31 / 38 81.6% 68.0% 54 / 107 50.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 185 / 716 25.8% 35.1% 733 / 2171 33.8% 35.6%
To the body 90 / 138 65.2% 68.1% 191 / 323 59.1% 69.6%
To the legs 94 / 105 89.5% 81.5% 131 / 159 82.4% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3134.8% acc · 2.68/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
2240.0% acc · 1.14/15 · norm 1.27
2060.6% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
6864.8% def · norm 63.9%
65:0337.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
41:1114.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
20:211:45 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
44:322:18 per 15 · norm 3:15
30.26/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
30.16/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Means has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.