BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Daniel Sarafian vs.
Cezar Ferreira

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-4-0 Daniel Sarafian · UFC
9-6-0 Cezar Ferreira · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-4-0
UFC record
9-6-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
44
AgeΔ 2.5 yrs
41.5
5'9"
HeightΔ 4"
6'1"
73"
ReachΔ 5"
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
125.5
Layoff (months)Δ 40.7 mo
84.8
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Cezar Ferreira hunts takedowns — 2.69 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Daniel Sarafian rarely shoots — 0.36 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Cezar Ferreira owns the mat — in control 32% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Daniel Sarafian

Full career not yet synced for Daniel Sarafian — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Cezar Ferreira

Full career not yet synced for Cezar Ferreira — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

942.23/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
2971.90/min · norm 3.25
1313.10/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
3812.44/min · norm 3.20
46.8%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
42.9%norm 47.4%
58.3%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
53.8%norm 53.8%
10.36/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
20.19/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Daniel Sarafian

Distance 96.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 3.5% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 0.5% (norm 10.3%)

Cezar Ferreira

Distance 86.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 9.8% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Daniel Sarafian

Head 74.6% (norm 78.0%) · Body 16.9% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.5% (norm 8.4%)

Cezar Ferreira

Head 67.7% (norm 78.0%) · Body 20.1% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Sarafian L/AAccMiddleweight med Ferreira L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 89 / 193 46.1% 40.5% 233 / 596 39.1% 40.5%
In the clinch 4 / 7 too few to rate 70.3% 18 / 29 62.1% 70.3%
On the ground 1 / 1 too few to rate 69.1% 46 / 68 67.6% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 56 / 150 37.3% 38.9% 157 / 469 33.5% 38.9%
To the body 22 / 34 64.7% 71.7% 75 / 139 54.0% 71.7%
To the legs 16 / 17 too few to rate 83.3% 65 / 85 76.5% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Sarafian L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Ferreira L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 101 / 263 38.4% 39.5% 260 / 651 39.9% 39.5%
In the clinch 6 / 12 too few to rate 70.9% 63 / 97 64.9% 70.9%
On the ground 24 / 39 61.5% 69.0% 58 / 77 75.3% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 90 / 259 34.7% 37.9% 260 / 645 40.3% 37.9%
To the body 17 / 29 58.6% 71.3% 58 / 87 66.7% 71.3%
To the legs 24 / 26 92.3% 82.1% 63 / 93 67.7% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

17.1% acc · 0.36/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
2853.8% acc · 2.69/15 · norm 1.42
753.8% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2284.6% def · norm 63.1%
5:2112.7% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
49:3031.7% of cage time · norm 19.75%
14:255:07 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
11:121:04 per 15 · norm 3:00
20.71/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
50.48/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Ferreira has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.