Daniel Rodriguez vs. Kelvin Gastelum

UFC 10-5-0 vs. 14-11-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
10-5-0
UFC record
14-11-0 (1 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
39
AgeΔ 5 yrs
34
6'1"
HeightΔ 4"
5'9"
74"
ReachΔ 3"
71"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
0.2
Layoff (months)Δ 3.7 mo
3.9
LWWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Daniel Rodriguez outworks the Welterweight division — 7.18 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Daniel Rodriguez rarely shoots — 0.18 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Kelvin Gastelum carries real power — 0.43 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Daniel Rodriguez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 125
Tier 3 — regional circuit 81

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.35 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.5 wins over .500

Kelvin Gastelum

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1411
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.01 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 32 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

11717.18/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
12693.65/min · norm 3.25
8745.36/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
12223.52/min · norm 3.20
49.2%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
42.4%norm 47.4%
57.2%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
57.3%norm 53.8%
70.64/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
100.43/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Daniel Rodriguez

Distance 96.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 1.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 2.7% (norm 8.1%)

Kelvin Gastelum

Distance 90.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 4.3% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Daniel Rodriguez

Head 78.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 8.6% (norm 8.4%)

Kelvin Gastelum

Head 80.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.9% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rodriguez L/AAccWelterweight med Gastelum L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1111 / 2289 48.5% 38.6% 1082 / 2695 40.1% 40.5%
In the clinch 23 / 28 82.1% 67.8% 109 / 171 63.7% 70.3%
On the ground 37 / 65 56.9% 67.2% 78 / 129 60.5% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 749 / 1857 40.3% 37.2% 824 / 2419 34.1% 38.9%
To the body 233 / 319 73.0% 70.7% 233 / 326 71.5% 71.7%
To the legs 189 / 206 91.7% 82.9% 212 / 250 84.8% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rodriguez L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Gastelum L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 796 / 1893 42.0% 39.0% 1052 / 2613 40.3% 39.5%
In the clinch 30 / 52 57.7% 68.9% 102 / 153 66.7% 70.9%
On the ground 48 / 96 50.0% 68.0% 68 / 97 70.1% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 519 / 1540 33.7% 35.6% 768 / 2234 34.4% 37.9%
To the body 188 / 294 63.9% 69.6% 274 / 406 67.5% 71.3%
To the legs 167 / 207 80.7% 82.1% 180 / 223 80.7% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
228.6% acc · 0.18/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
2435.3% acc · 1.04/15 · norm 1.42
3264.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
5560.4% def · norm 63.1%
8:034.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
47:1513.6% of cage time · norm 19.75%
19:231:47 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
51:252:13 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.09/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
20.09/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gastelum has more cage time on record.