BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Daniel Roberts vs.
Mike Guymon

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-4-0 Daniel Roberts · UFC
1-3-0 Mike Guymon · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-4-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
46
AgeΔ 5 yrs
51
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
6'0"
74"
ReachΔ 0"
74"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
174.5
Layoff (months)Δ 11.9 mo
186.4
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Daniel Roberts is a submission threat — 2.46 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Mike Guymon is a submission threat — 1.25 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Daniel Roberts hunts takedowns — 2.46 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Daniel Roberts

Full career not yet synced for Daniel Roberts — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Mike Guymon

Full career not yet synced for Mike Guymon — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

490.73/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
662.75/min · norm 3.17
1522.27/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
190.79/min · norm 3.06
20.4%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
65.3%norm 44.9%
46.1%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
66.1%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Daniel Roberts

Distance 88.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 7.5% (norm 8.1%)

Mike Guymon

Distance 47.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 12.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 39.6% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Daniel Roberts

Head 83.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.7% (norm 8.4%)

Mike Guymon

Head 78.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Roberts L/AAccWelterweight med Guymon L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 34 / 212 16.0% 38.6% 13 / 48 27.1% 38.6%
In the clinch 7 / 10 too few to rate 67.8% 13 / 13 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 8 / 18 too few to rate 67.2% 40 / 40 100.0% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 26 / 200 13.0% 37.2% 45 / 79 57.0% 37.2%
To the body 16 / 24 too few to rate 70.7% 15 / 16 too few to rate 70.7%
To the legs 7 / 16 too few to rate 82.9% 6 / 6 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Roberts L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Guymon L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 67 / 165 40.6% 39.0% 10 / 46 21.7% 39.0%
In the clinch 27 / 44 61.4% 68.9% 2 / 2 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 58 / 73 79.5% 68.0% 7 / 8 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 76 / 197 38.6% 35.6% 16 / 49 32.7% 35.6%
To the body 40 / 48 83.3% 69.6% 2 / 5 too few to rate 69.6%
To the legs 36 / 37 97.3% 82.1% 1 / 2 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1144.0% acc · 2.46/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
337.5% acc · 1.87/15 · norm 1.27
640.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
654.5% def · norm 63.9%
15:4323.5% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
7:4632.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
26:205:53 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
11:006:51 per 15 · norm 3:15
112.46/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
21.25/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Roberts has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.