BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Daniel Pineda vs.
Justin Lawrence

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-8-0 (1 NC) Daniel Pineda · UFC
1-2-0 Justin Lawrence · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-8-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
1-2-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
41
AgeΔ 4.8 yrs
36.2
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
69"
ReachΔ 2"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
21.6
Layoff (months)Δ 138.2 mo
159.8
LLLWNC
Last 5 (newest first)
LLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Daniel Pineda is a submission threat — 1.54 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Justin Lawrence carries real power — 0.69 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Daniel Pineda owns the mat — in control 26% of cage time, vs a 17% Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Daniel Pineda

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 612
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 81
Tier 3 — regional circuit 144

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.71 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 28 finish wins over 47 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Justin Lawrence

Full career not yet synced for Justin Lawrence — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3612.85/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
863.96/min · norm 3.54
4123.26/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
663.04/min · norm 3.47
49.6%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
34.8%norm 45.0%
45.8%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
70.9%norm 54.85%
20.24/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
10.69/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Daniel Pineda

Distance 73.5% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 22.3% (norm 6.5%)

Justin Lawrence

Distance 93.9% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 2.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Daniel Pineda

Head 78.4% (norm 77.4%) · Body 10.9% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 10.7% (norm 7.8%)

Justin Lawrence

Head 85.0% (norm 77.4%) · Body 11.7% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Pineda L/AAccFeatherweight med Lawrence L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 213 / 535 39.8% 40.9% 78 / 232 33.6% 40.9%
In the clinch 23 / 31 74.2% 70.8% 5 / 7 too few to rate 70.8%
On the ground 125 / 162 77.2% 69.2% 3 / 8 too few to rate 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 242 / 571 42.4% 37.2% 70 / 210 33.3% 37.2%
To the body 54 / 79 68.4% 68.2% 11 / 29 37.9% 68.2%
To the legs 65 / 78 83.3% 80.7% 5 / 8 too few to rate 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Pineda L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Lawrence L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 307 / 605 50.7% 39.2% 54 / 202 26.7% 39.2%
In the clinch 51 / 69 73.9% 70.3% 6 / 9 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 54 / 86 62.8% 69.4% 6 / 16 too few to rate 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 267 / 577 46.3% 35.9% 38 / 188 20.2% 35.9%
To the body 104 / 132 78.8% 67.9% 20 / 30 66.7% 67.9%
To the legs 41 / 51 80.4% 81.5% 8 / 9 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1224.0% acc · 1.42/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
228.6% acc · 1.38/15 · norm 1.19
2954.7% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
342.9% def · norm 61.5%
32:4425.9% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
1:024.8% of cage time · norm 16.7%
40:244:47 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
2:151:33 per 15 · norm 3:12
131.54/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Pineda has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.