BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Daniel Kelly vs.
Luke Zachrich

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-4-0 Daniel Kelly · UFC
1-2-0 Luke Zachrich · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-4-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
48.8
AgeΔ 4.2 yrs
44.6
6'0"
HeightΔ 2"
6'2"
70"
ReachΔ 4"
74"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
98.3
Layoff (months)Δ 42.6 mo
140.9
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Luke Zachrich rarely shoots — 0.74 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Daniel Kelly absorbs 4.64 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.20 Middleweight norm — hittable.
Luke Zachrich outworks the Middleweight division — 4.56 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.25 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Daniel Kelly

Full career not yet synced for Daniel Kelly — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Luke Zachrich

Full career not yet synced for Luke Zachrich — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3503.62/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
924.56/min · norm 3.25
4494.64/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
904.46/min · norm 3.20
38.8%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
32.5%norm 47.4%
61.7%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
62.5%norm 53.8%
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Daniel Kelly

Distance 81.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 9.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 9.4% (norm 10.3%)

Luke Zachrich

Distance 97.5% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 2.5% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Daniel Kelly

Head 93.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 3.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 8.4%)

Luke Zachrich

Head 89.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 4.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Kelly L/AAccMiddleweight med Zachrich L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 242 / 736 32.9% 40.5% 89 / 276 32.2% 40.5%
In the clinch 53 / 81 65.4% 70.3% 3 / 7 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 55 / 85 64.7% 69.1% 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 303 / 841 36.0% 38.9% 70 / 254 27.6% 38.9%
To the body 21 / 32 65.6% 71.7% 8 / 13 too few to rate 71.7%
To the legs 26 / 29 89.7% 83.3% 14 / 16 too few to rate 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Kelly L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Zachrich L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 382 / 1090 35.0% 39.5% 74 / 219 33.8% 39.5%
In the clinch 53 / 65 81.5% 70.9% 10 / 15 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 14 / 17 too few to rate 69.0% 6 / 6 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 316 / 986 32.0% 37.9% 61 / 199 30.7% 37.9%
To the body 82 / 115 71.3% 71.3% 13 / 24 too few to rate 71.3%
To the legs 51 / 71 71.8% 82.1% 16 / 17 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1234.3% acc · 1.86/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
133.3% acc · 0.74/15 · norm 1.42
1578.9% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
480.0% def · norm 63.1%
17:5218.5% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
0:010.1% of cage time · norm 19.75%
6:120:57 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
0:530:39 per 15 · norm 3:00
20.31/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Kelly has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.