BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Daniel Cormier vs.
Roy Nelson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

11-3-0 (1 NC) Daniel Cormier · UFC
9-10-0 Roy Nelson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

11-3-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
9-10-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
47.4
AgeΔ 2.7 yrs
50.1
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
6'0"
72"
ReachΔ 1"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
71.7
Layoff (months)Δ 40 mo
111.7
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Roy Nelson carries real power — 0.67 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Daniel Cormier is a submission threat — 0.58 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Daniel Cormier hunts takedowns — 1.66 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Daniel Cormier

Full career not yet synced for Daniel Cormier — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 10-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +7.5 wins over .500

Roy Nelson

Full career not yet synced for Roy Nelson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9114.39/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
4392.17/min · norm 3.36
7283.51/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
9854.86/min · norm 3.19
54.7%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
37.3%norm 47.8%
50.5%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
45.6%norm 52.5%
20.14/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
90.67/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Daniel Cormier

Distance 70.6% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 17.1% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 12.3% (norm 10.4%)

Roy Nelson

Distance 82.5% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 13.0% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 4.5% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Daniel Cormier

Head 81.7% (norm 79.2%) · Body 10.0% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 8.3% (norm 9.7%)

Roy Nelson

Head 89.1% (norm 79.2%) · Body 6.3% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 4.6% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cormier L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Nelson L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 546 / 1175 46.5% 41.4% 315 / 970 32.5% 40.1%
In the clinch 209 / 284 73.6% 70.9% 83 / 153 54.2% 70.6%
On the ground 156 / 205 76.1% 72.3% 41 / 53 77.4% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 682 / 1359 50.2% 38.9% 341 / 1048 32.5% 38.9%
To the body 119 / 167 71.3% 71.9% 53 / 74 71.6% 76.8%
To the legs 110 / 138 79.7% 81.8% 45 / 54 83.3% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cormier L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Nelson L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 570 / 1236 46.1% 40.4% 710 / 1438 49.4% 40.7%
In the clinch 134 / 201 66.7% 68.7% 259 / 354 73.2% 70.6%
On the ground 24 / 33 72.7% 70.4% 16 / 18 too few to rate 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 412 / 1062 38.8% 37.5% 640 / 1402 45.6% 38.8%
To the body 199 / 256 77.7% 72.3% 237 / 293 80.9% 75.1%
To the legs 117 / 152 77.0% 83.0% 108 / 115 93.9% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2346.0% acc · 1.66/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
1629.6% acc · 1.18/15 · norm 0.95
2676.5% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
2064.5% def · norm 64.3%
62:5230.3% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
41:0420.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
20:401:29 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
24:411:49 per 15 · norm 2:28
80.58/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
10.07/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Nelson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.