BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Dan Stittgen vs.
Marcelo Guimaraes

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-2-0 Dan Stittgen · UFC
2-2-0 Marcelo Guimaraes · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-2-0
UFC record
2-2-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
45
AgeΔ 2 yrs
43
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'0"
Reach
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
168.8
Layoff (months)Δ 43.8 mo
125
LL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Marcelo Guimaraes's takedown defense leaks — 0% stopped, vs a 63% Middleweight norm.
Marcelo Guimaraes owns the mat — in control 34% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Opponents land 100% of their clinch strikes on Dan Stittgen, vs a 69% Welterweight norm — a hole in the guard.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Dan Stittgen

Full career not yet synced for Dan Stittgen — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Marcelo Guimaraes

Full career not yet synced for Marcelo Guimaraes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

572.97/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
2114.67/min · norm 3.25
854.42/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1994.41/min · norm 3.20
46.3%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
52.0%norm 47.4%
37.0%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
62.8%norm 53.8%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Dan Stittgen

Distance 91.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 8.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 8.1%)

Marcelo Guimaraes

Distance 86.9% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 12.6% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 0.5% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Dan Stittgen

Head 45.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 35.0% (norm 8.4%)

Marcelo Guimaraes

Head 54.7% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 31.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Stittgen L/AAccWelterweight med Guimaraes L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 46 / 112 41.1% 38.6% 168 / 353 47.6% 40.5%
In the clinch 11 / 11 too few to rate 67.8% 42 / 51 82.4% 70.3%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 67.2% 1 / 2 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 16 / 56 28.6% 37.2% 63 / 222 28.4% 38.9%
To the body 12 / 24 too few to rate 70.7% 36 / 56 64.3% 71.7%
To the legs 29 / 43 67.4% 82.9% 112 / 128 87.5% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Stittgen L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Guimaraes L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 52 / 102 51.0% 39.0% 159 / 493 32.3% 39.5%
In the clinch 31 / 31 100.0% 68.9% 38 / 40 95.0% 70.9%
On the ground 2 / 2 too few to rate 68.0% 2 / 2 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 20 / 58 34.5% 35.6% 123 / 424 29.0% 37.9%
To the body 15 / 22 too few to rate 69.6% 32 / 56 57.1% 71.3%
To the legs 50 / 55 90.9% 82.1% 44 / 55 80.0% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1100.0% acc · 0.78/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
614.0% acc · 1.99/15 · norm 1.42
17100.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
00.0% def · norm 63.1%
0:131.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
15:3534.5% of cage time · norm 19.75%
7:355:55 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
0:170:05 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Guimaraes has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.