Dan Severn vs.
Paul Varelans
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Dan Severn
Full career not yet synced for Dan Severn — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500
Paul Varelans
Full career not yet synced for Paul Varelans — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Dan Severn
Distance 50.2% (norm 50.2%) · Clinch 4.6% (norm 14.9%) · Ground 45.2% (norm 28.7%)
Paul Varelans
Distance 54.7% (norm 50.2%) · Clinch 28.1% (norm 14.9%) · Ground 17.2% (norm 28.7%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Dan Severn
Head 86.1% (norm 81.2%) · Body 8.9% (norm 8.0%) · Legs 5.0% (norm 5.2%)
Paul Varelans
Head 81.2% (norm 81.2%) · Body 6.2% (norm 8.0%) · Legs 12.5% (norm 5.2%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Severn L/A | Acc | Open Weight med | Varelans L/A | Acc | Open Weight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 19 / 130 | 14.6% | 27.8% | 17 / 70 | 24.3% | 27.8% |
| In the clinch | 8 / 12 | too few to rate | 63.8% | 21 / 36 | 58.3% | 63.8% |
| On the ground | 91 / 117 | 77.8% | 65.8% | 18 / 22 | too few to rate | 65.8% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 86 / 223 | 38.6% | 39.3% | 40 / 104 | 38.5% | 39.3% |
| To the body | 21 / 23 | too few to rate | 90.5% | 6 / 8 | too few to rate | 90.5% |
| To the legs | 11 / 13 | too few to rate | 53.5% | 10 / 16 | too few to rate | 53.5% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Open Weight: 11 fighters · Open Weight: 11 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Severn L/A | Opp acc | Open Weight med | vs Varelans L/A | Opp acc | Open Weight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 26 / 132 | 19.7% | 37.0% | 44 / 83 | 53.0% | 37.0% |
| In the clinch | 9 / 13 | too few to rate | 66.7% | 9 / 37 | 24.3% | 66.7% |
| On the ground | 15 / 18 | too few to rate | 67.1% | 26 / 37 | 70.3% | 67.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 27 / 132 | 20.5% | 47.0% | 46 / 101 | 45.5% | 47.0% |
| To the body | 15 / 19 | too few to rate | 87.9% | 3 / 7 | too few to rate | 87.9% |
| To the legs | 8 / 12 | too few to rate | 61.2% | 30 / 49 | 61.2% | 61.2% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Severn has more cage time on record.