Dan Miller vs.
Matt Horwich
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Dan Miller
Full career not yet synced for Dan Miller — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500
Matt Horwich
Full career not yet synced for Matt Horwich — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Dan Miller
Distance 83.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 9.7% (norm 10.3%)
Matt Horwich
Distance 42.9% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 46.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 11.1% (norm 10.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Dan Miller
Head 80.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 8.4%)
Matt Horwich
Head 52.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 30.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 17.5% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Miller L/A | Acc | Middleweight med | Horwich L/A | Acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 207 / 691 | 30.0% | 40.5% | 15 / 27 | 55.6% | 40.5% |
| In the clinch | 43 / 56 | 76.8% | 70.3% | 18 / 29 | 62.1% | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 48 / 80 | 60.0% | 69.1% | 7 / 7 | too few to rate | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 193 / 662 | 29.2% | 38.9% | 13 / 33 | 39.4% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 63 / 114 | 55.3% | 71.7% | 18 / 19 | too few to rate | 71.7% |
| To the legs | 42 / 51 | 82.4% | 83.3% | 9 / 11 | too few to rate | 83.3% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Miller L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med | vs Horwich L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 258 / 625 | 41.3% | 39.5% | 32 / 56 | 57.1% | 39.5% |
| In the clinch | 75 / 96 | 78.1% | 70.9% | 10 / 13 | too few to rate | 70.9% |
| On the ground | 125 / 177 | 70.6% | 69.0% | 30 / 47 | 63.8% | 69.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 340 / 768 | 44.3% | 37.9% | 58 / 100 | 58.0% | 37.9% |
| To the body | 46 / 56 | 82.1% | 71.3% | 13 / 14 | too few to rate | 71.3% |
| To the legs | 72 / 74 | 97.3% | 82.1% | 1 / 2 | too few to rate | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Miller has more cage time on record.