BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Dan Hardy vs.
Duane Ludwig

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-4-0 Dan Hardy · UFC
4-5-0 Duane Ludwig · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-4-0
UFC record
4-5-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
44.2
AgeΔ 3.8 yrs
48
6'0"
HeightΔ 2"
5'10"
74"
ReachΔ 4"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
166.2
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
166.2
WWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Duane Ludwig rarely shoots — 0.26 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Duane Ludwig outworks the Welterweight division — 5.32 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Dan Hardy's takedown defense leaks — 36% stopped, vs a 64% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Dan Hardy

Full career not yet synced for Dan Hardy — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.3 wins over .500

Duane Ludwig

Full career not yet synced for Duane Ludwig — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3042.46/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
3075.32/min · norm 3.17
4253.44/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
2163.74/min · norm 3.06
35.3%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
41.3%norm 44.9%
51.1%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
58.2%norm 55.25%
30.36/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.26/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Dan Hardy

Distance 80.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 13.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.6% (norm 8.1%)

Duane Ludwig

Distance 81.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 15.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 3.5% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Dan Hardy

Head 80.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.5% (norm 8.4%)

Duane Ludwig

Head 76.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Hardy L/AAccWelterweight med Ludwig L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 200 / 690 29.0% 38.6% 210 / 605 34.7% 38.6%
In the clinch 69 / 113 61.1% 67.8% 79 / 112 70.5% 67.8%
On the ground 35 / 57 61.4% 67.2% 18 / 26 69.2% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 190 / 691 27.5% 37.2% 183 / 566 32.3% 37.2%
To the body 53 / 79 67.1% 70.7% 99 / 145 68.3% 70.7%
To the legs 61 / 90 67.8% 82.9% 25 / 32 78.1% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Hardy L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Ludwig L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 286 / 663 43.1% 39.0% 166 / 419 39.6% 39.0%
In the clinch 68 / 109 62.4% 68.9% 19 / 31 61.3% 68.9%
On the ground 71 / 98 72.4% 68.0% 31 / 67 46.3% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 240 / 613 39.2% 35.6% 115 / 360 31.9% 35.6%
To the body 116 / 162 71.6% 69.6% 38 / 81 46.9% 69.6%
To the legs 69 / 95 72.6% 82.1% 63 / 76 82.9% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

635.3% acc · 0.73/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
116.7% acc · 0.26/15 · norm 1.27
1135.5% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1967.9% def · norm 63.9%
19:3215.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
7:2112.7% of cage time · norm 18.5%
44:175:22 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
16:504:22 per 15 · norm 3:15
30.36/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Hardy has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.