BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Dan Hardy vs.
Chris Lytle

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-4-0 Dan Hardy · UFC
10-10-0 Chris Lytle · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-4-0
UFC record
10-10-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
44.2
AgeΔ 7.8 yrs
52
6'0"
HeightΔ 1"
5'11"
74"
ReachΔ 6"
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
166.2
Layoff (months)Δ 13.5 mo
179.7
WWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Chris Lytle is a submission threat — 2.15 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Chris Lytle rarely shoots — 0.63 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Dan Hardy's takedown defense leaks — 36% stopped, vs a 64% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Dan Hardy

Full career not yet synced for Dan Hardy — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.3 wins over .500

Chris Lytle

Full career not yet synced for Chris Lytle — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3042.46/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
8183.79/min · norm 3.17
4253.44/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
6873.18/min · norm 3.06
35.3%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
44.0%norm 44.9%
51.1%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
58.0%norm 55.25%
30.36/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
20.14/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Dan Hardy

Distance 80.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 13.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.6% (norm 8.1%)

Chris Lytle

Distance 84.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 13.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Dan Hardy

Head 80.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.5% (norm 8.4%)

Chris Lytle

Head 78.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Hardy L/AAccWelterweight med Lytle L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 200 / 690 29.0% 38.6% 628 / 1574 39.9% 38.6%
In the clinch 69 / 113 61.1% 67.8% 164 / 242 67.8% 67.8%
On the ground 35 / 57 61.4% 67.2% 26 / 41 63.4% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 190 / 691 27.5% 37.2% 504 / 1451 34.7% 37.2%
To the body 53 / 79 67.1% 70.7% 246 / 321 76.6% 70.7%
To the legs 61 / 90 67.8% 82.9% 68 / 85 80.0% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Hardy L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Lytle L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 286 / 663 43.1% 39.0% 450 / 1239 36.3% 39.0%
In the clinch 68 / 109 62.4% 68.9% 123 / 196 62.8% 68.9%
On the ground 71 / 98 72.4% 68.0% 114 / 202 56.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 240 / 613 39.2% 35.6% 407 / 1280 31.8% 35.6%
To the body 116 / 162 71.6% 69.6% 170 / 226 75.2% 69.6%
To the legs 69 / 95 72.6% 82.1% 110 / 131 84.0% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

635.3% acc · 0.73/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
950.0% acc · 0.63/15 · norm 1.27
1135.5% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
3254.2% def · norm 63.9%
19:3215.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
28:4213.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
44:175:22 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
74:265:10 per 15 · norm 3:15
30.36/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
312.15/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lytle has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.