BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Damir Ismagulov vs.
Thiago Moises

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-2-0 Damir Ismagulov · UFC
8-8-0 Thiago Moises · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-2-0
UFC record
8-8-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
35.5
AgeΔ 4.1 yrs
31.4
5'10"
HeightΔ 1"
5'9"
74"
ReachΔ 4"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
37.2
Layoff (months)Δ 33.6 mo
3.6
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Thiago Moises is a submission threat — 1.07 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Thiago Moises absorbs 4.44 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.
Opponents land 88% of their ground strikes on Damir Ismagulov, vs a 68% Lightweight norm — a hole in the guard.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Damir Ismagulov

Full career not yet synced for Damir Ismagulov — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Thiago Moises

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 98
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 51
Tier 3 — regional circuit 51

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.03 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3533.36/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
4332.38/min · norm 3.42
2562.44/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
8074.44/min · norm 3.37
42.8%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
42.5%norm 43.5%
61.2%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
52.6%norm 56.3%
10.14/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.08/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Damir Ismagulov

Distance 89.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 3.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 7.3% (norm 8.0%)

Thiago Moises

Distance 86.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 3.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Damir Ismagulov

Head 72.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 7.9%)

Thiago Moises

Head 77.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.9% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Ismagulov L/AAccLightweight med Moises L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 294 / 740 39.7% 37.9% 326 / 882 37.0% 37.9%
In the clinch 18 / 25 72.0% 67.3% 25 / 36 69.4% 67.3%
On the ground 41 / 60 68.3% 69.1% 82 / 102 80.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 192 / 598 32.1% 35.0% 274 / 795 34.5% 35.0%
To the body 111 / 168 66.1% 69.1% 56 / 93 60.2% 69.1%
To the legs 50 / 59 84.7% 81.9% 103 / 132 78.0% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Ismagulov L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Moises L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 206 / 602 34.2% 38.9% 605 / 1372 44.1% 38.9%
In the clinch 28 / 33 84.8% 68.6% 78 / 106 73.6% 68.6%
On the ground 22 / 25 88.0% 68.0% 124 / 223 55.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 138 / 500 27.6% 35.1% 344 / 1119 30.7% 35.1%
To the body 62 / 89 69.7% 68.1% 256 / 352 72.7% 68.1%
To the legs 56 / 71 78.9% 81.5% 207 / 230 90.0% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

728.0% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1729.8% acc · 1.40/15 · norm 1.38
2670.3% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2152.5% def · norm 64.0%
19:4618.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
39:3821.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
23:083:18 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
40:313:20 per 15 · norm 2:46
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
131.07/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Moises has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.