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Cynthia Calvillo vs. Katlyn Cerminara

UFC 6-6-1 vs. 12-6-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
6-6-1
UFC record
12-6-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
39
AgeΔ 2 yrs
37
5'4"
HeightΔ 5"
5'9"
64"
ReachΔ 4"
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
42.4
Layoff (months)Δ 42.3 mo
0.1
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Cynthia Calvillo is a submission threat — 0.81 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Katlyn Cerminara rarely shoots — 0.31 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.94 Women's Flyweight norm.
Cynthia Calvillo hunts takedowns — 1.80 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Cynthia Calvillo

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 66
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.91 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 5 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Katlyn Cerminara

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 116
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.13 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 3 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7364.41/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
11364.62/min · norm 3.93
6874.12/min · norm 4.00
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
10994.47/min · norm 3.84
38.4%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
35.2%norm 45.5%
64.0%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
62.4%norm 56.1%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
20.12/15 · norm 0.10

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Cynthia Calvillo

Distance 93.7% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 1.2% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 5.1% (norm 5.0%)

Katlyn Cerminara

Distance 93.7% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 3.9% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 4.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Cynthia Calvillo

Head 71.0% (norm 76.6%) · Body 19.8% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 9.1% (norm 9.1%)

Katlyn Cerminara

Head 80.1% (norm 78.1%) · Body 13.6% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 6.3% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Calvillo L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Cerminara L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 639 / 1795 35.6% 38.3% 985 / 3027 32.5% 40.3%
In the clinch 19 / 23 too few to rate 72.6% 88 / 126 69.8% 73.9%
On the ground 78 / 98 79.6% 75.0% 63 / 77 81.8% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 394 / 1361 28.9% 35.4% 706 / 2587 27.3% 36.0%
To the body 224 / 380 58.9% 69.3% 271 / 440 61.6% 69.5%
To the legs 118 / 175 67.4% 77.9% 159 / 203 78.3% 82.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Calvillo L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Cerminara L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 645 / 1833 35.2% 39.7% 961 / 2745 35.0% 39.0%
In the clinch 36 / 67 53.7% 71.2% 98 / 129 76.0% 73.8%
On the ground 6 / 9 too few to rate 74.4% 40 / 47 85.1% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 418 / 1520 27.5% 36.0% 572 / 2178 26.3% 35.0%
To the body 121 / 202 59.9% 68.7% 193 / 333 58.0% 69.0%
To the legs 148 / 187 79.1% 79.1% 334 / 410 81.5% 78.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2044.4% acc · 1.80/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
515.6% acc · 0.31/15 · norm 0.94
1477.8% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
2750.9% def · norm 61.1%
32:1719.4% of cage time · norm 19.0%
Control time
19:157.8% of cage time · norm 18.7%
2:010:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
38:452:21 per 15 · norm 3:00
90.81/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
50.31/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cerminara has more cage time on record.