BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Cynthia Calvillo vs.
Cortney Casey

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-6-1 Cynthia Calvillo · UFC
6-9-0 Cortney Casey · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-6-1
UFC record
6-9-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
39
AgeΔ 0 yrs
39
5'4"
HeightΔ 3"
5'7"
64"
ReachΔ 3"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
39.9
Layoff (months)Δ 9 mo
48.9
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Cynthia Calvillo is a submission threat — 0.81 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Cortney Casey rarely shoots — 0.39 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Cynthia Calvillo hunts takedowns — 1.80 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Cynthia Calvillo

Full career not yet synced for Cynthia Calvillo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Cortney Casey

Full career not yet synced for Cortney Casey — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7364.41/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
8164.29/min · norm 3.77
6874.12/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
7614.00/min · norm 3.94
38.4%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
39.1%norm 44.5%
64.0%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
55.2%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Cynthia Calvillo

Distance 93.7% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 1.2% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 5.1% (norm 5.0%)

Cortney Casey

Distance 87.9% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Cynthia Calvillo

Head 71.0% (norm 76.4%) · Body 19.8% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 9.1% (norm 9.1%)

Cortney Casey

Head 82.6% (norm 76.4%) · Body 7.2% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 10.2% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Calvillo L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Casey L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 639 / 1795 35.6% 38.3% 640 / 1832 34.9% 38.3%
In the clinch 19 / 23 too few to rate 72.6% 95 / 142 66.9% 72.6%
On the ground 78 / 98 79.6% 75.0% 81 / 111 73.0% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 394 / 1361 28.9% 35.4% 558 / 1722 32.4% 35.4%
To the body 224 / 380 58.9% 69.3% 87 / 150 58.0% 69.3%
To the legs 118 / 175 67.4% 77.9% 171 / 213 80.3% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Calvillo L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Casey L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 645 / 1833 35.2% 39.7% 607 / 1453 41.8% 39.7%
In the clinch 36 / 67 53.7% 71.5% 78 / 126 61.9% 71.5%
On the ground 6 / 9 too few to rate 74.4% 76 / 118 64.4% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 418 / 1520 27.5% 36.0% 459 / 1290 35.6% 36.0%
To the body 121 / 202 59.9% 68.4% 144 / 218 66.1% 68.4%
To the legs 148 / 187 79.1% 79.1% 158 / 189 83.6% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2044.4% acc · 1.80/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
531.3% acc · 0.39/15 · norm 1.10
1477.8% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
1939.6% def · norm 64.1%
32:1719.4% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
11:015.8% of cage time · norm 19.4%
2:010:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
59:424:42 per 15 · norm 3:00
90.81/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
60.47/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Casey has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.