BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Cub Swanson vs.
Kron Gracie

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

16-10-0 Cub Swanson · UFC
1-3-0 Kron Gracie · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

16-10-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
42.8
AgeΔ 4.7 yrs
38.1
5'8"
HeightΔ 1"
5'9"
70"
ReachΔ 0"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
3.8
Layoff (months)Δ 16.1 mo
19.9
WWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Kron Gracie's takedown defense leaks — 0% stopped, vs a 62% Featherweight norm.
Cub Swanson carries real power — 0.58 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Kron Gracie rarely shoots — 0.35 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Cub Swanson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1610
Tier 3 — regional circuit 154

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.93 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500

Kron Gracie

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 43
Tier 3 — regional circuit 10

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.3 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 5 finish wins over 8 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

16455.30/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
1262.95/min · norm 3.54
13804.44/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
2455.73/min · norm 3.47
52.6%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
42.3%norm 45.0%
58.5%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
51.6%norm 54.85%
120.58/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Cub Swanson

Distance 88.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 6.5%)

Kron Gracie

Distance 93.6% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 0.7% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Cub Swanson

Head 72.9% (norm 77.4%) · Body 13.8% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 13.3% (norm 7.8%)

Kron Gracie

Head 82.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 5.7% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 12.1% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Swanson L/AAccFeatherweight med Gracie L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1363 / 2764 49.3% 40.9% 113 / 279 40.5% 40.9%
In the clinch 160 / 199 80.4% 70.8% 12 / 17 too few to rate 70.8%
On the ground 122 / 166 73.5% 69.2% 1 / 2 too few to rate 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 992 / 2281 43.5% 37.2% 96 / 245 39.2% 37.2%
To the body 323 / 432 74.8% 68.2% 6 / 17 too few to rate 68.2%
To the legs 330 / 416 79.3% 80.7% 24 / 36 66.7% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Swanson L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Gracie L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1129 / 2932 38.5% 39.2% 185 / 430 43.0% 39.2%
In the clinch 127 / 193 65.8% 70.3% 45 / 59 76.3% 70.3%
On the ground 124 / 204 60.8% 69.4% 15 / 17 too few to rate 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 885 / 2628 33.7% 35.9% 160 / 396 40.4% 35.9%
To the body 247 / 370 66.8% 67.9% 63 / 84 75.0% 67.9%
To the legs 248 / 331 74.9% 81.5% 22 / 26 84.6% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1451.9% acc · 0.68/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
125.0% acc · 0.35/15 · norm 1.19
8272.6% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
00.0% def · norm 61.5%
22:527.4% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
2:034.8% of cage time · norm 16.7%
58:402:50 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
15:575:35 per 15 · norm 3:12
20.10/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
20.70/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Swanson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.