BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Cub Swanson vs.
Billy Quarantillo

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

16-10-0 Cub Swanson · UFC
6-5-0 Billy Quarantillo · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

16-10-0
UFC record
6-5-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
42.8
AgeΔ 5.1 yrs
37.7
5'8"
HeightΔ 2"
5'10"
70"
ReachΔ 0"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.8
Layoff (months)Δ 15.9 mo
19.7
WWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Billy Quarantillo is a submission threat — 1.10 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Cub Swanson carries real power — 0.58 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Billy Quarantillo outworks the Featherweight division — 7.04 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.54 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Cub Swanson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1610
Tier 3 — regional circuit 154

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.93 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500

Billy Quarantillo

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 75
Tier 3 — regional circuit 112

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.0 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

16455.30/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
8637.04/min · norm 3.54
13804.44/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
7205.87/min · norm 3.47
52.6%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
52.2%norm 45.0%
58.5%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
43.0%norm 54.85%
120.58/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
20.24/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Cub Swanson

Distance 88.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 6.5%)

Billy Quarantillo

Distance 78.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 11.0% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 11.0% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Cub Swanson

Head 72.9% (norm 77.4%) · Body 13.8% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 13.3% (norm 7.8%)

Billy Quarantillo

Head 79.4% (norm 77.4%) · Body 15.7% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 4.8% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Swanson L/AAccFeatherweight med Quarantillo L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1363 / 2764 49.3% 40.9% 573 / 1289 44.5% 40.9%
In the clinch 160 / 199 80.4% 70.8% 148 / 182 81.3% 70.8%
On the ground 122 / 166 73.5% 69.2% 142 / 182 78.0% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 992 / 2281 43.5% 37.2% 599 / 1313 45.6% 37.2%
To the body 323 / 432 74.8% 68.2% 198 / 260 76.2% 68.2%
To the legs 330 / 416 79.3% 80.7% 66 / 80 82.5% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Swanson L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Quarantillo L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1129 / 2932 38.5% 39.2% 563 / 1035 54.4% 39.2%
In the clinch 127 / 193 65.8% 70.3% 106 / 138 76.8% 70.3%
On the ground 124 / 204 60.8% 69.4% 51 / 91 56.0% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 885 / 2628 33.7% 35.9% 496 / 983 50.5% 35.9%
To the body 247 / 370 66.8% 67.9% 141 / 187 75.4% 67.9%
To the legs 248 / 331 74.9% 81.5% 83 / 94 88.3% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1451.9% acc · 0.68/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
1325.5% acc · 1.59/15 · norm 1.19
8272.6% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
2761.4% def · norm 61.5%
22:527.4% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
33:0827.0% of cage time · norm 16.7%
58:402:50 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
32:363:59 per 15 · norm 3:12
20.10/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
91.10/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Swanson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.