BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Cristiane Justino vs.
Holly Holm

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-1-0 Cristiane Justino · UFC
8-7-0 (1 NC) Holly Holm · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-1-0
UFC record
8-7-0 (1 NC)
Women's Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
41.1
AgeΔ 3.7 yrs
44.8
5'8"
HeightΔ 0"
5'8"
68"
ReachΔ 1"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
84.3
Layoff (months)Δ 56.5 mo
27.8
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LNCWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Cristiane Justino carries real power — 0.46 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.17 Women's Featherweight norm.
Cristiane Justino outworks the Women's Featherweight division — 7.07 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.85 norm.
Holly Holm carries real power — 0.12 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.08 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Cristiane Justino

Full career not yet synced for Cristiane Justino — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Holly Holm

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 97
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 30
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.11 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4607.07/min · norm 3.85
Sig. strikes landed
8053.13/min · norm 3.56
1482.28/min · norm 2.33
Sig. strikes absorbed
7502.92/min · norm 3.51
57.0%norm 51.0%
Striking accuracy
40.8%norm 46.65%
67.9%norm 64.3%
Striking defense
55.0%norm 52.45%
20.46/15 · norm 0.17
Knockdowns
20.12/15 · norm 0.08

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Cristiane Justino

Distance 72.1% (norm 72.1%) · Clinch 16.0% (norm 16.0%) · Ground 11.9% (norm 11.9%)

Holly Holm

Distance 89.4% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 6.1% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 4.5% (norm 7.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Cristiane Justino

Head 71.0% (norm 74.7%) · Body 20.4% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 8.6% (norm 9.0%)

Holly Holm

Head 68.5% (norm 75.2%) · Body 18.6% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 12.9% (norm 8.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Justino L/AAccWomen's Featherweight med Holm L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 297 / 582 51.0% 47.3% 659 / 1766 37.3% 38.3%
In the clinch 101 / 129 78.3% 78.3% 94 / 120 78.3% 73.3%
On the ground 62 / 96 64.6% 69.1% 52 / 89 58.4% 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 260 / 573 45.4% 42.9% 377 / 1353 27.9% 37.7%
To the body 136 / 165 82.4% 79.1% 246 / 368 66.8% 70.0%
To the legs 64 / 69 92.8% 82.0% 182 / 254 71.7% 80.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Featherweight: 3 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Justino L/AOpp accWomen's Featherweight med vs Holm L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 120 / 414 29.0% 32.4% 531 / 1401 37.9% 41.3%
In the clinch 23 / 37 62.2% 72.7% 156 / 187 83.4% 74.7%
On the ground 5 / 10 too few to rate 72.2% 63 / 79 79.7% 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 85 / 361 23.5% 26.3% 394 / 1154 34.1% 38.1%
To the body 38 / 63 60.3% 60.3% 206 / 301 68.4% 73.2%
To the legs 25 / 37 67.6% 67.6% 150 / 212 70.8% 80.9%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

360.0% acc · 0.69/15 · norm 1.18
Takedowns landed
1530.0% acc · 0.87/15 · norm 0.91
1588.2% def · norm 71.9%
Takedowns stopped
2976.3% def · norm 62.5%
9:3314.7% of cage time · norm 24.0%
Control time
61:5424.1% of cage time · norm 26.55%
10:332:26 per 15 · norm 2:26
Time under control
18:271:04 per 15 · norm 3:19
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Submission attempts
10.06/15 · norm 0.34

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Holm has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.