BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Conor McGregor vs.
Dennis Siver

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-5-0 Conor McGregor · UFC
12-8-0 (1 NC) Dennis Siver · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-5-0
UFC record
12-8-0 (1 NC)
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
38.1
AgeΔ 9.5 yrs
47.6
5'9"
HeightΔ 3"
5'6"
74"
ReachΔ 4"
70"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
0.9
Layoff (months)Δ 108.5 mo
109.4
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWNC
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Conor McGregor carries real power — 1.72 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Dennis Siver carries real power — 0.47 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Conor McGregor outworks the Featherweight division — 5.27 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.54 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Conor McGregor

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 105
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 41
Tier 3 — regional circuit 81

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.31 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +7.1 wins over .500

Dennis Siver

Full career not yet synced for Dennis Siver — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5995.27/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
8693.87/min · norm 3.42
5364.71/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
5982.67/min · norm 3.37
49.5%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
32.4%norm 43.5%
53.9%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
65.0%norm 56.3%
131.72/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
70.47/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Conor McGregor

Distance 84.5% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 6.2% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 9.3% (norm 6.5%)

Dennis Siver

Distance 90.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.8% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Conor McGregor

Head 78.8% (norm 77.4%) · Body 13.1% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 8.2% (norm 7.8%)

Dennis Siver

Head 78.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 13.4% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone McGregor L/AAccFeatherweight med Siver L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 461 / 1022 45.1% 40.9% 737 / 2423 30.4% 37.9%
In the clinch 61 / 75 81.3% 70.8% 46 / 126 36.5% 67.3%
On the ground 77 / 113 68.1% 69.2% 86 / 129 66.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 419 / 953 44.0% 37.2% 494 / 2091 23.6% 35.0%
To the body 102 / 158 64.6% 68.2% 118 / 228 51.8% 69.1%
To the legs 78 / 99 78.8% 80.7% 257 / 359 71.6% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs McGregor L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Siver L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 336 / 864 38.9% 39.2% 472 / 1477 32.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 96 / 142 67.6% 70.3% 44 / 77 57.1% 68.6%
On the ground 104 / 156 66.7% 69.4% 82 / 157 52.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 372 / 913 40.7% 35.9% 372 / 1335 27.9% 35.1%
To the body 88 / 136 64.7% 67.9% 99 / 170 58.2% 68.1%
To the legs 76 / 113 67.3% 81.5% 127 / 206 61.7% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

555.6% acc · 0.66/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
1332.5% acc · 0.87/15 · norm 1.38
2266.7% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
3965.0% def · norm 64.0%
13:5112.2% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
38:0717.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
31:344:09 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
39:502:39 per 15 · norm 2:46
10.13/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
50.33/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Siver has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.