BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Cole Miller vs.
TJ O'Brien

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-9-0 (1 NC) Cole Miller · UFC
0-2-0 TJ O'Brien · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-9-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
0-2-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
42.3
AgeΔ 2.7 yrs
39.6
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
73"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
115.6
Layoff (months)Δ 64.1 mo
179.7
LLNCLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Cole Miller is a submission threat — 1.79 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
TJ O'Brien's takedown defense leaks — 0% stopped, vs a 64% Lightweight norm.
Cole Miller rarely shoots — 0.60 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Cole Miller

Full career not yet synced for Cole Miller — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

TJ O'Brien

Full career not yet synced for TJ O'Brien — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6053.00/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
603.77/min · norm 3.42
7833.88/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
764.78/min · norm 3.37
33.3%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
46.2%norm 43.5%
59.3%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
57.8%norm 56.3%
40.30/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Cole Miller

Distance 89.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 6.5%)

TJ O'Brien

Distance 93.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 2.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.6% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Cole Miller

Head 84.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 10.2% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 5.5% (norm 7.8%)

TJ O'Brien

Head 68.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 21.5% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Miller L/AAccFeatherweight med O'Brien L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 476 / 1621 29.4% 40.9% 56 / 121 46.3% 37.9%
In the clinch 70 / 109 64.2% 70.8% 0 / 3 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 59 / 86 68.6% 69.2% 4 / 6 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 421 / 1530 27.5% 37.2% 28 / 89 31.5% 35.0%
To the body 103 / 186 55.4% 68.2% 9 / 13 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 81 / 100 81.0% 80.7% 23 / 28 82.1% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Miller L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs O'Brien L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 574 / 1565 36.7% 39.2% 40 / 132 30.3% 38.9%
In the clinch 66 / 115 57.4% 70.3% 2 / 2 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 143 / 243 58.8% 69.4% 34 / 46 73.9% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 512 / 1568 32.7% 35.9% 54 / 152 35.5% 35.1%
To the body 130 / 188 69.1% 67.9% 3 / 5 too few to rate 68.1%
To the legs 141 / 167 84.4% 81.5% 19 / 23 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

836.4% acc · 0.60/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
1100.0% acc · 0.94/15 · norm 1.38
1738.6% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
00.0% def · norm 64.0%
30:4115.2% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
0:343.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
56:194:11 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
3:433:30 per 15 · norm 2:46
241.79/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Miller has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.