BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Colby Thicknesse vs.
Vince Morales

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-1-0 Colby Thicknesse · UFC
3-9-0 Vince Morales · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-1-0
UFC record
3-9-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
27
AgeΔ 8 yrs
35
5'7"
HeightΔ 0"
5'7"
69"
ReachΔ 1"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.2
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
3.2
WWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Colby Thicknesse is a submission threat — 1.67 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Vince Morales is a submission threat — 0.46 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Colby Thicknesse's takedown defense leaks — 33% stopped, vs a 67% Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Colby Thicknesse

Full career not yet synced for Colby Thicknesse — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -2.0 wins over .500

Vince Morales

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 610
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.67 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1463.24/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
5423.36/min · norm 3.52
1322.93/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
6253.87/min · norm 3.58
41.1%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
36.7%norm 43.4%
54.3%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
54.5%norm 56.6%
00.00/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
20.19/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Colby Thicknesse

Distance 74.6% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 4.5% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 20.8% (norm 6.5%)

Vince Morales

Distance 93.9% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 1.4% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Colby Thicknesse

Head 73.0% (norm 77.4%) · Body 19.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 8.4%)

Vince Morales

Head 81.4% (norm 77.4%) · Body 14.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Thicknesse L/AAccBantamweight med Morales L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 93 / 265 35.1% 39.0% 488 / 1387 35.2% 39.0%
In the clinch 10 / 16 too few to rate 68.7% 39 / 70 55.7% 68.7%
On the ground 43 / 74 58.1% 70.2% 15 / 20 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 81 / 259 31.3% 34.9% 363 / 1202 30.2% 34.9%
To the body 41 / 69 59.4% 66.8% 134 / 210 63.8% 66.8%
To the legs 24 / 27 88.9% 79.4% 45 / 65 69.2% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Thicknesse L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Morales L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 104 / 244 42.6% 39.3% 579 / 1311 44.2% 39.3%
In the clinch 26 / 40 65.0% 70.4% 34 / 49 69.4% 70.4%
On the ground 2 / 5 too few to rate 72.4% 12 / 15 too few to rate 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 81 / 217 37.3% 34.9% 333 / 989 33.7% 34.9%
To the body 35 / 47 74.5% 66.0% 121 / 172 70.3% 66.0%
To the legs 16 / 25 64.0% 79.1% 171 / 214 79.9% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

27.1% acc · 0.67/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
847.1% acc · 0.74/15 · norm 1.12
233.3% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
2964.4% def · norm 66.7%
10:4623.9% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
13:308.4% of cage time · norm 17.4%
9:283:09 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
23:142:09 per 15 · norm 2:24
51.67/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
50.46/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Morales has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.