BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Clayton Carpenter vs.
Tagir Ulanbekov

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-3-0 Clayton Carpenter · UFC
6-2-0 Tagir Ulanbekov · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-3-0
UFC record
6-2-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
30
AgeΔ 4 yrs
34
5'6"
HeightΔ 1"
5'7"
66"
ReachΔ 4"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
2.9
Layoff (months)Δ 5.5 mo
8.4
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Tagir Ulanbekov is a submission threat — 1.52 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Tagir Ulanbekov owns the mat — in control 41% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Clayton Carpenter is a submission threat — 1.33 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Clayton Carpenter

Full career not yet synced for Clayton Carpenter — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Tagir Ulanbekov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 62
Tier 3 — regional circuit 111

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.3 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 20 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1543.41/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
2983.01/min · norm 3.49
2184.83/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
3403.44/min · norm 3.24
50.0%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
48.2%norm 44.6%
46.2%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
50.6%norm 56.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
10.15/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Clayton Carpenter

Distance 84.1% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 5.8% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 10.1% (norm 7.3%)

Tagir Ulanbekov

Distance 85.1% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 8.4% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 6.5% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Clayton Carpenter

Head 58.4% (norm 75.9%) · Body 26.0% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 15.6% (norm 9.3%)

Tagir Ulanbekov

Head 87.7% (norm 75.9%) · Body 9.1% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Carpenter L/AAccFlyweight med Ulanbekov L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 114 / 259 44.0% 40.0% 225 / 526 42.8% 40.0%
In the clinch 14 / 18 too few to rate 70.4% 42 / 52 80.8% 70.4%
On the ground 26 / 31 83.9% 69.7% 31 / 40 77.5% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 70 / 180 38.9% 37.6% 241 / 542 44.5% 37.6%
To the body 45 / 80 56.2% 68.5% 41 / 56 73.2% 68.5%
To the legs 39 / 48 81.2% 80.0% 16 / 20 too few to rate 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Carpenter L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Ulanbekov L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 188 / 357 52.7% 40.1% 240 / 556 43.2% 40.1%
In the clinch 12 / 17 too few to rate 68.8% 48 / 70 68.6% 68.8%
On the ground 18 / 31 58.1% 71.1% 52 / 62 83.9% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 125 / 286 43.7% 35.2% 183 / 484 37.8% 35.2%
To the body 56 / 78 71.8% 68.2% 64 / 93 68.8% 68.2%
To the legs 37 / 41 90.2% 80.3% 93 / 111 83.8% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

428.6% acc · 1.33/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
1839.1% acc · 2.73/15 · norm 1.30
550.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
1963.3% def · norm 62.5%
11:0924.7% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
40:1940.8% of cage time · norm 17.0%
11:433:53 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
13:362:03 per 15 · norm 2:44
41.33/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
101.52/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Ulanbekov has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.