BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Clay Guida vs.
Robert Peralta

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

18-19-0 Clay Guida · UFC
4-3-0 (1 NC) Robert Peralta · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

18-19-0
UFC record
4-3-0 (1 NC)
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
44.7
AgeΔ 4.3 yrs
40.4
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
70"
ReachΔ 1"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
19.9
Layoff (months)Δ 116.1 mo
136
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Robert Peralta carries real power — 0.69 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Clay Guida hunts takedowns — 2.76 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Clay Guida owns the mat — in control 37% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Clay Guida

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1819
Tier 3 — regional circuit 195

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.66 · 18 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 61 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-16 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500

Robert Peralta

Full career not yet synced for Robert Peralta — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

11562.73/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
3023.47/min · norm 3.54
13443.18/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2582.97/min · norm 3.47
33.2%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
44.6%norm 45.0%
60.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
52.4%norm 54.85%
60.21/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
40.69/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Clay Guida

Distance 82.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 11.5% (norm 8.0%)

Robert Peralta

Distance 79.5% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 16.0% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 4.6% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Clay Guida

Head 82.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.0% (norm 7.9%)

Robert Peralta

Head 68.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 14.2% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 17.6% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Guida L/AAccLightweight med Peralta L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 753 / 2862 26.3% 37.9% 196 / 538 36.4% 40.9%
In the clinch 158 / 223 70.9% 67.3% 80 / 108 74.1% 70.8%
On the ground 245 / 401 61.1% 69.1% 26 / 31 83.9% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 691 / 2881 24.0% 35.0% 121 / 462 26.2% 37.2%
To the body 186 / 291 63.9% 69.1% 71 / 96 74.0% 68.2%
To the legs 279 / 314 88.9% 81.9% 110 / 119 92.4% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Guida L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Peralta L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1018 / 3003 33.9% 38.9% 146 / 394 37.1% 39.2%
In the clinch 208 / 287 72.5% 68.6% 69 / 86 80.2% 70.3%
On the ground 118 / 147 80.3% 68.0% 43 / 62 69.4% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 1031 / 3003 34.3% 35.1% 89 / 330 27.0% 35.9%
To the body 211 / 309 68.3% 68.1% 69 / 91 75.8% 67.9%
To the legs 102 / 125 81.6% 81.5% 100 / 121 82.6% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

7833.6% acc · 2.76/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
466.7% acc · 0.69/15 · norm 1.19
5069.4% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2964.4% def · norm 61.5%
156:2737.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
8:5410.2% of cage time · norm 16.7%
38:511:22 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
34:195:55 per 15 · norm 3:12
160.57/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Guida has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.