Clay Guida vs. Gray Maynard
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Clay Guida
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 18 | 19 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 19 | 5 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.66 · 18 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 61 documented bouts
In the UFC: 10-16 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500
Gray Maynard
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 11 | 7 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 2 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.87 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 2 finish wins over 22 documented bouts
In the UFC: 8-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Clay Guida
Distance 82.1% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 11.5% (norm 8.0%)
Gray Maynard
Distance 80.2% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 8.1% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 11.7% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Clay Guida
Head 82.6% (norm 78.0%) · Body 8.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.0% (norm 8.0%)
Gray Maynard
Head 88.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 9.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.0% (norm 8.0%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Guida L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Maynard L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 753 / 2862 | 26.3% | 38.3% | 320 / 1215 | 26.3% | 38.3% |
| In the clinch | 158 / 223 | 70.9% | 67.5% | 73 / 123 | 59.3% | 67.5% |
| On the ground | 245 / 401 | 61.1% | 68.8% | 100 / 177 | 56.5% | 68.8% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 691 / 2881 | 24.0% | 35.1% | 371 / 1340 | 27.7% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 186 / 291 | 63.9% | 69.1% | 100 / 144 | 69.4% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 279 / 314 | 88.9% | 81.8% | 22 / 31 | 71.0% | 81.8% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Guida L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Maynard L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 1018 / 3003 | 33.9% | 38.8% | 509 / 1768 | 28.8% | 38.8% |
| In the clinch | 208 / 287 | 72.5% | 68.6% | 101 / 174 | 58.0% | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 118 / 147 | 80.3% | 68.0% | 69 / 95 | 72.6% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 1031 / 3003 | 34.3% | 35.2% | 466 / 1679 | 27.8% | 35.2% |
| To the body | 211 / 309 | 68.3% | 68.2% | 117 / 237 | 49.4% | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 102 / 125 | 81.6% | 81.5% | 96 / 121 | 79.3% | 81.5% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Guida has more cage time on record.