BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Clay Guida vs.
Diego Sanchez

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

18-19-0 Clay Guida · UFC
19-13-0 Diego Sanchez · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

18-19-0
UFC record
19-13-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
44
AgeΔ 0 yrs
44
5'7"
HeightΔ 3"
5'10"
70"
ReachΔ 2"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
19.9
Layoff (months)Δ 50.4 mo
70.3
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Clay Guida hunts takedowns — 2.76 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Clay Guida owns the mat — in control 37% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Diego Sanchez is a submission threat — 0.68 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Clay Guida

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1819
Tier 3 — regional circuit 195

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.66 · 18 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 61 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-16 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500

Diego Sanchez

Full career not yet synced for Diego Sanchez — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 10-12 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

11562.73/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
10582.66/min · norm 3.17
13443.18/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
12383.12/min · norm 3.06
33.2%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
37.3%norm 44.9%
60.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
56.5%norm 55.25%
60.21/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
60.23/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Clay Guida

Distance 82.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 11.5% (norm 8.0%)

Diego Sanchez

Distance 74.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 6.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 18.9% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Clay Guida

Head 82.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.0% (norm 7.9%)

Diego Sanchez

Head 83.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Guida L/AAccLightweight med Sanchez L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 753 / 2862 26.3% 37.9% 612 / 2110 29.0% 38.6%
In the clinch 158 / 223 70.9% 67.3% 112 / 188 59.6% 67.8%
On the ground 245 / 401 61.1% 69.1% 334 / 535 62.4% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 691 / 2881 24.0% 35.0% 730 / 2355 31.0% 37.2%
To the body 186 / 291 63.9% 69.1% 250 / 378 66.1% 70.7%
To the legs 279 / 314 88.9% 81.9% 78 / 100 78.0% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Guida L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Sanchez L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1018 / 3003 33.9% 38.9% 862 / 2235 38.6% 39.0%
In the clinch 208 / 287 72.5% 68.6% 198 / 303 65.3% 68.9%
On the ground 118 / 147 80.3% 68.0% 178 / 309 57.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 1031 / 3003 34.3% 35.1% 954 / 2483 38.4% 35.6%
To the body 211 / 309 68.3% 68.1% 178 / 236 75.4% 69.6%
To the legs 102 / 125 81.6% 81.5% 106 / 128 82.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

7833.6% acc · 2.76/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
3621.7% acc · 1.36/15 · norm 1.27
5069.4% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
3347.1% def · norm 63.9%
156:2737.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
99:2225.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
38:511:22 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
62:342:21 per 15 · norm 3:15
160.57/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
180.68/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Guida has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.