BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Christian Wellisch vs.
Jake O'Brien

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-3-0 Christian Wellisch · UFC
4-3-0 Jake O'Brien · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-3-0
UFC record
4-3-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
50
AgeΔ 9 yrs
41
6'2"
HeightΔ 1"
6'3"
77"
ReachΔ 1"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
210.1
Layoff (months)Δ 5.3 mo
204.8
LLWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Christian Wellisch is a submission threat — 1.22 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Jake O'Brien hunts takedowns — 6.44 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Jake O'Brien owns the mat — in control 50% of cage time, vs a 17% Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Christian Wellisch

Full career not yet synced for Christian Wellisch — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Jake O'Brien

Full career not yet synced for Jake O'Brien — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1153.12/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
921.32/min · norm 3.36
1123.04/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
1351.93/min · norm 3.19
27.9%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
31.8%norm 47.8%
56.1%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
69.2%norm 52.5%
10.41/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
10.21/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Christian Wellisch

Distance 83.7% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 10.9% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 9.3%)

Jake O'Brien

Distance 59.9% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 36.0% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Christian Wellisch

Head 91.5% (norm 79.2%) · Body 2.9% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 5.6% (norm 7.6%)

Jake O'Brien

Head 99.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 1.0% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Wellisch L/AAccHeavyweight med O'Brien L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 83 / 345 24.1% 40.1% 32 / 173 18.5% 40.1%
In the clinch 24 / 45 53.3% 70.6% 6 / 12 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 8 / 22 too few to rate 70.2% 54 / 104 51.9% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 89 / 377 23.6% 38.9% 89 / 286 31.1% 38.9%
To the body 8 / 12 too few to rate 76.8% 3 / 3 too few to rate 76.8%
To the legs 18 / 23 too few to rate 87.8% 0 / 0 too few to rate 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Wellisch L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs O'Brien L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 53 / 166 31.9% 40.7% 92 / 377 24.4% 40.7%
In the clinch 47 / 70 67.1% 70.6% 6 / 15 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 12 / 19 too few to rate 72.0% 37 / 46 80.4% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 90 / 229 39.3% 38.8% 85 / 364 23.4% 38.8%
To the body 7 / 11 too few to rate 75.1% 15 / 25 60.0% 75.1%
To the legs 15 / 15 too few to rate 84.4% 35 / 49 71.4% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

342.9% acc · 1.22/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
3056.6% acc · 6.44/15 · norm 0.95
1045.5% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
125.0% def · norm 64.3%
4:3312.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
35:0250.1% of cage time · norm 17.2%
12:064:55 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
5:391:12 per 15 · norm 2:28
31.22/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
10.21/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — O'Brien has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.