BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Christian Morecraft vs.
Matt Mitrione

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Christian Morecraft · UFC
9-5-0 Matt Mitrione · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
9-5-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
39.9
AgeΔ 8.2 yrs
48.1
6'6"
HeightΔ 3"
6'3"
81"
ReachΔ 1"
82"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
174.5
Layoff (months)Δ 47.9 mo
126.6
LLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Christian Morecraft is a submission threat — 2.17 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Matt Mitrione carries real power — 1.53 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Matt Mitrione is a submission threat — 0.68 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Christian Morecraft

Full career not yet synced for Christian Morecraft — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Matt Mitrione

Full career not yet synced for Matt Mitrione — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

782.82/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
3133.55/min · norm 3.36
682.46/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
2462.79/min · norm 3.19
34.4%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
50.1%norm 47.8%
46.0%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
64.6%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
91.53/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Christian Morecraft

Distance 61.2% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 3.1% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 35.7% (norm 9.3%)

Matt Mitrione

Distance 82.7% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 8.8% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Christian Morecraft

Head 91.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 4.4% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 4.0% (norm 7.6%)

Matt Mitrione

Head 83.5% (norm 79.2%) · Body 5.9% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 10.6% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Morecraft L/AAccHeavyweight med Mitrione L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 26 / 139 18.7% 40.1% 235 / 517 45.5% 40.1%
In the clinch 5 / 7 too few to rate 70.6% 30 / 53 56.6% 70.6%
On the ground 47 / 81 58.0% 70.2% 48 / 55 87.3% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 64 / 208 30.8% 38.9% 225 / 522 43.1% 38.9%
To the body 7 / 10 too few to rate 76.8% 28 / 37 75.7% 76.8%
To the legs 7 / 9 too few to rate 87.8% 60 / 66 90.9% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Morecraft L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Mitrione L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 51 / 105 48.6% 40.7% 162 / 580 27.9% 40.7%
In the clinch 2 / 4 too few to rate 70.6% 33 / 45 73.3% 70.6%
On the ground 15 / 17 too few to rate 72.0% 51 / 70 72.9% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 51 / 104 49.0% 38.8% 163 / 560 29.1% 38.8%
To the body 3 / 4 too few to rate 75.1% 45 / 83 54.2% 75.1%
To the legs 14 / 18 too few to rate 84.4% 38 / 52 73.1% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

666.7% acc · 3.26/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
150.0% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
1655.2% def · norm 64.3%
14:0050.7% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
6:267.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
2:431:28 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
24:034:05 per 15 · norm 2:28
42.17/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
40.68/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Mitrione has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.