BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Chris Weidman vs.
Lyoto Machida

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

12-8-0 Chris Weidman · UFC
16-8-0 Lyoto Machida · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

12-8-0
UFC record
16-8-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
42.1
AgeΔ 6.1 yrs
48.2
6'2"
HeightΔ 1"
6'1"
78"
ReachΔ 4"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
19.9
Layoff (months)Δ 78.9 mo
98.8
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Chris Weidman hunts takedowns — 3.27 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Lyoto Machida carries real power — 0.73 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.40 Light Heavyweight norm.
Chris Weidman is a submission threat — 0.82 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Chris Weidman

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 128
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.12 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.2 wins over .500

Lyoto Machida

Full career not yet synced for Lyoto Machida — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 13-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6263.11/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
7162.51/min · norm 3.41
6793.37/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
4621.62/min · norm 3.35
45.1%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
51.7%norm 48.3%
51.0%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
62.6%norm 52.9%
50.37/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
140.73/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Chris Weidman

Distance 77.4% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 16.2% (norm 10.3%)

Lyoto Machida

Distance 76.8% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 9.2% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 14.0% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Chris Weidman

Head 82.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 11.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 8.4%)

Lyoto Machida

Head 64.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 20.3% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 15.7% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Weidman L/AAccMiddleweight med Machida L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 416 / 1073 38.8% 40.5% 509 / 1063 47.9% 41.4%
In the clinch 58 / 89 65.2% 70.3% 89 / 127 70.1% 70.9%
On the ground 152 / 225 67.6% 69.1% 118 / 194 60.8% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 460 / 1141 40.3% 38.9% 360 / 886 40.6% 38.9%
To the body 100 / 164 61.0% 71.7% 196 / 281 69.8% 71.9%
To the legs 66 / 82 80.5% 83.3% 160 / 217 73.7% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Weidman L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Machida L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 423 / 1032 41.0% 39.5% 301 / 996 30.2% 40.4%
In the clinch 101 / 148 68.2% 70.9% 111 / 162 68.5% 68.7%
On the ground 155 / 206 75.2% 69.0% 50 / 77 64.9% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 452 / 1094 41.3% 37.9% 204 / 799 25.5% 37.5%
To the body 127 / 169 75.1% 71.3% 102 / 191 53.4% 72.3%
To the legs 100 / 123 81.3% 82.1% 156 / 245 63.7% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

4442.3% acc · 3.27/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
1463.6% acc · 0.73/15 · norm 0.87
2172.4% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
6576.5% def · norm 66.7%
64:5832.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
44:4115.6% of cage time · norm 16.5%
14:431:05 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
26:581:24 per 15 · norm 2:48
110.82/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
80.42/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Machida has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.