Chris Lytle vs. Matt Serra

UFC 10-10-0 vs. 7-7-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
10-10-0
UFC record
7-7-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
51
AgeΔ 1 yrs
52
5'11"
HeightΔ 5"
5'6"
68"
ReachΔ 0"
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
179.8
Layoff (months)Δ 10.6 mo
190.4
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Chris Lytle is a submission threat — 2.15 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Matt Serra is a submission threat — 0.89 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Matt Serra owns the mat — in control 34% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Chris Lytle

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1010
Tier 3 — regional circuit 218

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.7 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 25 finish wins over 54 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Matt Serra

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 77
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.94 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8183.79/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
3331.98/min · norm 3.17
6873.18/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
4442.64/min · norm 3.06
44.0%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
39.8%norm 44.9%
58.0%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
46.5%norm 55.25%
20.14/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
50.45/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Chris Lytle

Distance 84.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 13.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 8.1%)

Matt Serra

Distance 73.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 10.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 17.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Chris Lytle

Head 78.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.6% (norm 8.4%)

Matt Serra

Head 75.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lytle L/AAccWelterweight med Serra L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 628 / 1574 39.9% 38.6% 198 / 611 32.4% 38.6%
In the clinch 164 / 242 67.8% 67.8% 59 / 84 70.2% 67.8%
On the ground 26 / 41 63.4% 67.2% 76 / 142 53.5% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 504 / 1451 34.7% 37.2% 171 / 632 27.1% 37.2%
To the body 246 / 321 76.6% 70.7% 112 / 147 76.2% 70.7%
To the legs 68 / 85 80.0% 82.9% 50 / 58 86.2% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lytle L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Serra L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 450 / 1239 36.3% 39.0% 255 / 562 45.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 123 / 196 62.8% 68.9% 91 / 111 82.0% 68.9%
On the ground 114 / 202 56.4% 68.0% 98 / 157 62.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 407 / 1280 31.8% 35.6% 286 / 658 43.5% 35.6%
To the body 170 / 226 75.2% 69.6% 125 / 134 93.3% 69.6%
To the legs 110 / 131 84.0% 82.1% 33 / 38 86.8% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
950.0% acc · 0.63/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
2320.9% acc · 2.05/15 · norm 1.27
3254.2% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1238.7% def · norm 63.9%
28:4213.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
57:3434.2% of cage time · norm 18.5%
74:265:10 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
35:183:08 per 15 · norm 3:15
312.15/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
100.89/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lytle has more cage time on record.