BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Chris Lytle vs.
Kevin Burns

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-10-0 Chris Lytle · UFC
2-3-0 Kevin Burns · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-10-0
UFC record
2-3-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
52
AgeΔ 5.6 yrs
46.4
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
68"
ReachΔ 6"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
179.7
Layoff (months)Δ 20.1 mo
199.8
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Chris Lytle is a submission threat — 2.15 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Kevin Burns is a submission threat — 0.85 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Kevin Burns rarely shoots — 0.28 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Chris Lytle

Full career not yet synced for Chris Lytle — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Kevin Burns

Full career not yet synced for Kevin Burns — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8183.79/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
1452.74/min · norm 3.17
6873.18/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
2274.30/min · norm 3.06
44.0%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
38.9%norm 44.9%
58.0%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
52.6%norm 55.25%
20.14/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
20.57/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Chris Lytle

Distance 84.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 13.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 8.1%)

Kevin Burns

Distance 84.7% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 9.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.4% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Chris Lytle

Head 78.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.6% (norm 8.4%)

Kevin Burns

Head 75.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.9% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lytle L/AAccWelterweight med Burns L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 628 / 1574 39.9% 38.6% 108 / 316 34.2% 38.6%
In the clinch 164 / 242 67.8% 67.8% 24 / 37 64.9% 67.8%
On the ground 26 / 41 63.4% 67.2% 13 / 20 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 504 / 1451 34.7% 37.2% 73 / 281 26.0% 37.2%
To the body 246 / 321 76.6% 70.7% 28 / 37 75.7% 70.7%
To the legs 68 / 85 80.0% 82.9% 44 / 55 80.0% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lytle L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Burns L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 450 / 1239 36.3% 39.0% 165 / 372 44.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 123 / 196 62.8% 68.9% 29 / 38 76.3% 68.9%
On the ground 114 / 202 56.4% 68.0% 33 / 69 47.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 407 / 1280 31.8% 35.6% 127 / 358 35.5% 35.6%
To the body 170 / 226 75.2% 69.6% 69 / 86 80.2% 69.6%
To the legs 110 / 131 84.0% 82.1% 31 / 35 88.6% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

950.0% acc · 0.63/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
150.0% acc · 0.28/15 · norm 1.27
3254.2% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1047.6% def · norm 63.9%
28:4213.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
2:124.2% of cage time · norm 18.5%
74:265:10 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
24:006:48 per 15 · norm 3:15
312.15/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
30.85/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lytle has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.