BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Chris Gutierrez vs.
Raoni Barcelos

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-4-1 Chris Gutierrez · UFC
11-4-0 Raoni Barcelos · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-4-1
UFC record
11-4-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
35
AgeΔ 4 yrs
39
5'9"
HeightΔ 2"
5'7"
67"
ReachΔ 0"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
10.1
Layoff (months)Δ 6.7 mo
3.4
LWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Raoni Barcelos is a submission threat — 0.68 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Raoni Barcelos hunts takedowns — 2.51 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Chris Gutierrez rarely shoots — 0.30 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Chris Gutierrez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 114
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 93

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.14 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Raoni Barcelos

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 114
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 51
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.47 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8954.40/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
9184.65/min · norm 3.52
5392.65/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
8374.24/min · norm 3.58
57.6%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
51.7%norm 43.4%
63.4%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
60.6%norm 56.6%
60.44/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
50.38/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Chris Gutierrez

Distance 95.9% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 1.7% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 6.5%)

Raoni Barcelos

Distance 82.9% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 4.5% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 12.6% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Chris Gutierrez

Head 51.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 10.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 37.7% (norm 8.4%)

Raoni Barcelos

Head 82.8% (norm 77.4%) · Body 9.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Gutierrez L/AAccBantamweight med Barcelos L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 852 / 1491 57.1% 39.0% 681 / 1471 46.3% 39.0%
In the clinch 17 / 27 63.0% 68.7% 64 / 80 80.0% 68.7%
On the ground 26 / 37 70.3% 70.2% 173 / 224 77.2% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 339 / 802 42.3% 34.9% 672 / 1469 45.7% 34.9%
To the body 101 / 166 60.8% 66.8% 124 / 164 75.6% 66.8%
To the legs 455 / 587 77.5% 79.4% 122 / 142 85.9% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Gutierrez L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Barcelos L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 453 / 1341 33.8% 39.3% 741 / 1976 37.5% 39.3%
In the clinch 13 / 20 too few to rate 70.4% 59 / 96 61.5% 70.4%
On the ground 73 / 112 65.2% 72.4% 37 / 51 72.5% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 266 / 1029 25.9% 34.9% 545 / 1730 31.5% 34.9%
To the body 116 / 212 54.7% 66.0% 170 / 250 68.0% 66.0%
To the legs 157 / 232 67.7% 79.1% 122 / 143 85.3% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

430.8% acc · 0.30/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
3331.7% acc · 2.51/15 · norm 1.12
3867.9% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
3687.8% def · norm 66.7%
8:594.4% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
48:4424.7% of cage time · norm 17.4%
46:063:24 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
12:400:57 per 15 · norm 2:24
10.07/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
90.68/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gutierrez has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.