BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Chris Gruetzemacher vs.
Rafa Garcia

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-4-0 Chris Gruetzemacher · UFC
7-4-0 Rafa Garcia · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-4-0
UFC record
7-4-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
40.1
AgeΔ 8.1 yrs
32
5'8"
HeightΔ 1"
5'7"
68"
ReachΔ 2"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
56
Layoff (months)Δ 52.6 mo
3.4
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rafa Garcia hunts takedowns — 3.22 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Chris Gruetzemacher rarely shoots — 0.21 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Chris Gruetzemacher outworks the Lightweight division — 6.18 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.42 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Chris Gruetzemacher

Full career not yet synced for Chris Gruetzemacher — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Rafa Garcia

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 74
Tier 3 — regional circuit 110

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.29 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4516.18/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
6374.28/min · norm 3.42
3624.96/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
6584.42/min · norm 3.37
57.1%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
44.3%norm 43.5%
52.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
61.4%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.10/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Chris Gruetzemacher

Distance 76.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 18.2% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.9% (norm 8.0%)

Rafa Garcia

Distance 90.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.9% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Chris Gruetzemacher

Head 68.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.3% (norm 7.9%)

Rafa Garcia

Head 87.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.4% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Gruetzemacher L/AAccLightweight med Garcia L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 309 / 607 50.9% 37.9% 542 / 1307 41.5% 37.9%
In the clinch 113 / 144 78.5% 67.3% 61 / 76 80.3% 67.3%
On the ground 29 / 39 74.4% 69.1% 34 / 56 60.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 233 / 539 43.2% 35.0% 503 / 1264 39.8% 35.0%
To the body 129 / 154 83.8% 69.1% 80 / 112 71.4% 69.1%
To the legs 89 / 97 91.8% 81.9% 54 / 63 85.7% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Gruetzemacher L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Garcia L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 275 / 627 43.9% 38.9% 557 / 1563 35.6% 38.9%
In the clinch 59 / 99 59.6% 68.6% 55 / 68 80.9% 68.6%
On the ground 28 / 42 66.7% 68.0% 46 / 75 61.3% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 269 / 646 41.6% 35.1% 408 / 1360 30.0% 35.1%
To the body 67 / 92 72.8% 68.1% 181 / 262 69.1% 68.1%
To the legs 26 / 30 86.7% 81.5% 69 / 84 82.1% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

150.0% acc · 0.21/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
3245.7% acc · 3.22/15 · norm 1.38
2965.9% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2777.1% def · norm 64.0%
5:147.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
32:3121.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
24:114:58 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
8:170:50 per 15 · norm 2:46
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
40.40/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Garcia has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.