BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Chris Daukaus vs.
Rodrigo Nascimento

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-4-0 Chris Daukaus · UFC
4-3-0 (1 NC) Rodrigo Nascimento · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-4-0
UFC record
4-3-0 (1 NC)
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
36
AgeΔ 3 yrs
33
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
76"
ReachΔ 4"
80"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
35.8
Layoff (months)Δ 14.7 mo
21.1
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Chris Daukaus carries real power — 3.54 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Rodrigo Nascimento is a submission threat — 0.35 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Chris Daukaus rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Chris Daukaus

Full career not yet synced for Chris Daukaus — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Rodrigo Nascimento

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 65
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.99 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1546.05/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
3143.69/min · norm 3.36
1184.64/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
3764.42/min · norm 3.19
50.0%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
47.4%norm 47.8%
55.5%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
44.5%norm 52.5%
63.54/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Chris Daukaus

Distance 78.2% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 14.9% (norm 9.3%)

Rodrigo Nascimento

Distance 89.4% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Chris Daukaus

Head 91.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 5.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 7.6%)

Rodrigo Nascimento

Head 83.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 10.0% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 6.6% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Daukaus L/AAccHeavyweight med Nascimento L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 110 / 241 45.6% 40.1% 259 / 593 43.7% 40.1%
In the clinch 13 / 21 too few to rate 70.6% 37 / 49 75.5% 70.6%
On the ground 31 / 46 67.4% 70.2% 18 / 21 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 133 / 282 47.2% 38.9% 224 / 553 40.5% 38.9%
To the body 12 / 16 too few to rate 76.8% 49 / 66 74.2% 76.8%
To the legs 9 / 10 too few to rate 87.8% 41 / 44 93.2% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Daukaus L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Nascimento L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 97 / 234 41.5% 40.7% 277 / 548 50.5% 40.7%
In the clinch 10 / 15 too few to rate 70.6% 68 / 86 79.1% 70.6%
On the ground 11 / 16 too few to rate 72.0% 31 / 44 70.5% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 87 / 224 38.8% 38.8% 237 / 503 47.1% 38.8%
To the body 13 / 23 too few to rate 75.1% 89 / 118 75.4% 75.1%
To the legs 18 / 18 too few to rate 84.4% 50 / 57 87.7% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
637.5% acc · 1.06/15 · norm 0.95
2100.0% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
1359.1% def · norm 64.3%
2:108.5% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
20:1023.7% of cage time · norm 17.2%
1:040:37 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
18:583:20 per 15 · norm 2:28
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
20.35/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Daukaus has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.