BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Chris Curtis vs.
Phil Hawes

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-5-0 (1 NC) Chris Curtis · UFC
4-4-0 Phil Hawes · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-5-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
4-4-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
39.1
AgeΔ 1.5 yrs
37.6
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
6'0"
75"
ReachΔ 2"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
4.8
Layoff (months)Δ 25.9 mo
30.7
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Chris Curtis rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Chris Curtis absorbs 5.79 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.20 Middleweight norm — hittable.
Phil Hawes outworks the Middleweight division — 5.61 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.25 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Chris Curtis

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 87
Tier 3 — regional circuit 245

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.86 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500

Phil Hawes

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 65
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 51

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.93 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8485.39/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
3115.61/min · norm 3.25
9105.79/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
1953.52/min · norm 3.20
49.3%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
60.7%norm 47.4%
53.8%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
55.9%norm 53.8%
30.29/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
20.54/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Chris Curtis

Distance 95.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 4.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 1.0% (norm 10.3%)

Phil Hawes

Distance 79.9% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 10.9% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 9.2% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Chris Curtis

Head 78.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 18.1% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 3.0% (norm 8.4%)

Phil Hawes

Head 74.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 19.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 6.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Curtis L/AAccMiddleweight med Hawes L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 780 / 1635 47.7% 40.5% 236 / 409 57.7% 40.5%
In the clinch 55 / 68 80.9% 70.3% 42 / 56 75.0% 70.3%
On the ground 13 / 17 too few to rate 69.1% 33 / 47 70.2% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 578 / 1357 42.6% 38.9% 202 / 379 53.3% 38.9%
To the body 225 / 312 72.1% 71.7% 81 / 100 81.0% 71.7%
To the legs 45 / 51 88.2% 83.3% 28 / 33 84.8% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Curtis L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Hawes L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 845 / 1865 45.3% 39.5% 150 / 375 40.0% 39.5%
In the clinch 45 / 76 59.2% 70.9% 37 / 55 67.3% 70.9%
On the ground 20 / 29 69.0% 69.0% 8 / 12 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 570 / 1548 36.8% 37.9% 144 / 369 39.0% 37.9%
To the body 173 / 238 72.7% 71.3% 37 / 57 64.9% 71.3%
To the legs 167 / 184 90.8% 82.1% 14 / 16 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
842.1% acc · 2.17/15 · norm 1.42
5364.6% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
1090.9% def · norm 63.1%
3:062.0% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
18:1432.9% of cage time · norm 19.75%
26:362:32 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
6:041:38 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
10.27/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Curtis has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.