BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Charles Oliveira vs.
Hatsu Hioki

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

25-11-0 (1 NC) Charles Oliveira · UFC
3-5-0 Hatsu Hioki · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

25-11-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
3-5-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
36.8
AgeΔ 6.3 yrs
43.1
5'10"
HeightΔ 1"
5'11"
74"
ReachΔ 1"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5
Layoff (months)Δ 129.9 mo
134.9
WWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Charles Oliveira is a submission threat — 2.59 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Hatsu Hioki hunts takedowns — 2.48 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Hatsu Hioki owns the mat — in control 35% of cage time, vs a 17% Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Charles Oliveira

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 2511
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.52 · 25 tier-1/2 wins · 28 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 19-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.4 wins over .500

Hatsu Hioki

Full career not yet synced for Hatsu Hioki — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9543.23/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
2522.32/min · norm 3.54
9003.05/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2432.23/min · norm 3.47
55.6%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
43.6%norm 45.0%
49.0%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
65.0%norm 54.85%
80.41/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Charles Oliveira

Distance 69.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 13.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 16.6% (norm 8.0%)

Hatsu Hioki

Distance 83.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 11.2% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Charles Oliveira

Head 68.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.3% (norm 7.9%)

Hatsu Hioki

Head 70.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 25.8% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 3.6% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Oliveira L/AAccLightweight med Hioki L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 560 / 1199 46.7% 37.9% 178 / 480 37.1% 40.9%
In the clinch 173 / 231 74.9% 67.3% 22 / 33 66.7% 70.8%
On the ground 221 / 285 77.5% 69.1% 52 / 65 80.0% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 565 / 1182 47.8% 35.0% 152 / 408 37.3% 37.2%
To the body 246 / 357 68.9% 69.1% 82 / 149 55.0% 68.2%
To the legs 143 / 176 81.2% 81.9% 18 / 21 too few to rate 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Oliveira L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Hioki L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 615 / 1341 45.9% 38.9% 160 / 565 28.3% 39.2%
In the clinch 72 / 105 68.6% 68.6% 43 / 65 66.2% 70.3%
On the ground 213 / 317 67.2% 68.0% 40 / 65 61.5% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 658 / 1421 46.3% 35.1% 137 / 502 27.3% 35.9%
To the body 168 / 240 70.0% 68.1% 61 / 103 59.2% 67.9%
To the legs 74 / 102 72.5% 81.5% 45 / 90 50.0% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

4539.8% acc · 2.29/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1854.5% acc · 2.48/15 · norm 1.19
2854.9% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1050.0% def · norm 61.5%
102:0334.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
37:5034.8% of cage time · norm 16.7%
83:194:14 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
24:513:25 per 15 · norm 3:12
512.59/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
50.69/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Oliveira has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.