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Chance Rencountre vs. Lyman Good

UFC 2-2-0 vs. 3-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-2-0
UFC record
3-3-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
39
AgeΔ 2 yrs
41
6'2"
HeightΔ 2"
6'0"
75"
ReachΔ 1"
74"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
83.6
Layoff (months)Δ 7.6 mo
76
LWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Lyman Good carries real power — 0.82 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Lyman Good rarely shoots — 0.27 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.
Chance Rencountre's takedown defense leaks — 17% stopped, vs a 64% Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Chance Rencountre

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 120

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.03 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Lyman Good

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 116
Tier 3 — regional circuit 100

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.37 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

491.10/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
2935.34/min · norm 3.17
1613.62/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
2204.01/min · norm 3.08
20.5%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
48.8%norm 44.75%
49.4%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
63.0%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
30.82/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Chance Rencountre

Distance 95.4% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 1.7% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 2.9% (norm 8.1%)

Lyman Good

Distance 86.4% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 10.6% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Chance Rencountre

Head 75.7% (norm 78.3%) · Body 19.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.0% (norm 8.0%)

Lyman Good

Head 84.2% (norm 78.3%) · Body 10.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.2% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rencountre L/AAccWelterweight med Good L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 43 / 228 18.9% 38.5% 221 / 519 42.6% 38.5%
In the clinch 4 / 4 too few to rate 67.8% 58 / 64 90.6% 67.8%
On the ground 2 / 7 too few to rate 67.0% 14 / 18 too few to rate 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 20 / 181 11.0% 36.4% 214 / 506 42.3% 36.4%
To the body 19 / 46 41.3% 70.7% 52 / 64 81.2% 70.7%
To the legs 10 / 12 too few to rate 83.0% 27 / 31 87.1% 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rencountre L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Good L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 139 / 291 47.8% 39.1% 180 / 542 33.2% 39.1%
In the clinch 15 / 20 too few to rate 68.9% 40 / 53 75.5% 68.9%
On the ground 7 / 7 too few to rate 68.0% 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 110 / 253 43.5% 35.6% 134 / 473 28.3% 35.6%
To the body 24 / 34 70.6% 69.6% 53 / 86 61.6% 69.6%
To the legs 27 / 31 87.1% 82.2% 33 / 36 91.7% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
426.7% acc · 1.35/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
1100.0% acc · 0.27/15 · norm 1.31
116.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1575.0% def · norm 63.9%
13:3730.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
1:242.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
2:340:51 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
6:001:38 per 15 · norm 3:15
10.34/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Good has more cage time on record.