Chance Rencountre vs.
Lyman Good
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Chance Rencountre
Full career not yet synced for Chance Rencountre — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500
Lyman Good
Full career not yet synced for Lyman Good — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Chance Rencountre
Distance 95.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 1.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 2.9% (norm 8.1%)
Lyman Good
Distance 86.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 10.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Chance Rencountre
Head 75.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.0% (norm 8.4%)
Lyman Good
Head 84.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.2% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Rencountre L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Good L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 43 / 228 | 18.9% | 38.6% | 221 / 519 | 42.6% | 38.6% |
| In the clinch | 4 / 4 | too few to rate | 67.8% | 58 / 64 | 90.6% | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 2 / 7 | too few to rate | 67.2% | 14 / 18 | too few to rate | 67.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 20 / 181 | 11.0% | 37.2% | 214 / 506 | 42.3% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 19 / 46 | 41.3% | 70.7% | 52 / 64 | 81.2% | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 10 / 12 | too few to rate | 82.9% | 27 / 31 | 87.1% | 82.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Rencountre L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Good L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 139 / 291 | 47.8% | 39.0% | 180 / 542 | 33.2% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 15 / 20 | too few to rate | 68.9% | 40 / 53 | 75.5% | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 7 / 7 | too few to rate | 68.0% | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 110 / 253 | 43.5% | 35.6% | 134 / 473 | 28.3% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 24 / 34 | 70.6% | 69.6% | 53 / 86 | 61.6% | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 27 / 31 | 87.1% | 82.1% | 33 / 36 | 91.7% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Good has more cage time on record.