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Chance Rencountre vs. Ismail Naurdiev

UFC 2-2-0 vs. 5-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-2-0
UFC record
5-3-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
39
AgeΔ 9 yrs
30
6'2"
HeightΔ 4"
5'10"
75"
ReachΔ 1"
74"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
83.6
Layoff (months)Δ 83 mo
0.6
LWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Chance Rencountre's takedown defense leaks — 17% stopped, vs a 64% Welterweight norm.
Chance Rencountre is wasteful with head shots — only 11% land, vs a 36% Welterweight norm.
Ismail Naurdiev is hard to hit — absorbs 2.22 sig. strikes per minute, vs a 3.20 Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Chance Rencountre

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 120

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.03 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Ismail Naurdiev

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 43
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 205

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.83 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 33 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

491.10/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
4093.84/min · norm 3.23
1613.62/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
2362.22/min · norm 3.20
20.5%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
49.6%norm 47.4%
49.4%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
64.1%norm 53.8%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.14/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Chance Rencountre

Distance 95.4% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 1.7% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 2.9% (norm 8.1%)

Ismail Naurdiev

Distance 86.8% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 5.8% (norm 10.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Chance Rencountre

Head 75.7% (norm 78.3%) · Body 19.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.0% (norm 8.0%)

Ismail Naurdiev

Head 69.7% (norm 78.0%) · Body 16.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 13.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rencountre L/AAccWelterweight med Naurdiev L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 43 / 228 18.9% 38.5% 338 / 715 47.3% 40.5%
In the clinch 4 / 4 too few to rate 67.8% 38 / 61 62.3% 70.6%
On the ground 2 / 7 too few to rate 67.0% 33 / 48 68.8% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 20 / 181 11.0% 36.4% 220 / 574 38.3% 38.8%
To the body 19 / 46 41.3% 70.7% 97 / 137 70.8% 71.6%
To the legs 10 / 12 too few to rate 83.0% 92 / 113 81.4% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Middleweight: 178 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rencountre L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Naurdiev L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 139 / 291 47.8% 39.1% 203 / 602 33.7% 39.5%
In the clinch 15 / 20 too few to rate 68.9% 13 / 26 50.0% 70.4%
On the ground 7 / 7 too few to rate 68.0% 20 / 29 69.0% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 110 / 253 43.5% 35.6% 184 / 577 31.9% 37.9%
To the body 24 / 34 70.6% 69.6% 24 / 40 60.0% 71.3%
To the legs 27 / 31 87.1% 82.2% 28 / 40 70.0% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
426.7% acc · 1.35/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
1241.4% acc · 1.69/15 · norm 1.35
116.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
3274.4% def · norm 63.3%
13:3730.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
18:4117.6% of cage time · norm 19.4%
2:340:51 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
32:044:31 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.34/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
20.28/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Naurdiev has more cage time on record.