Carmelo Marrero vs.
Ryan Bader
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Carmelo Marrero
Full career not yet synced for Carmelo Marrero — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500
Ryan Bader
Full career not yet synced for Ryan Bader — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 10-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.1 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Carmelo Marrero
Distance 55.4% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 38.6% (norm 10.4%)
Ryan Bader
Distance 68.9% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 24.3% (norm 10.4%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Carmelo Marrero
Head 77.1% (norm 79.2%) · Body 16.9% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 6.0% (norm 9.7%)
Ryan Bader
Head 84.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 7.7% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 7.7% (norm 9.7%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Marrero L/A | Acc | Light Heavyweight med | Bader L/A | Acc | Light Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 9 / 46 | 19.6% | 41.4% | 278 / 918 | 30.3% | 41.4% |
| In the clinch | 0 / 5 | too few to rate | 70.9% | 59 / 90 | 65.6% | 70.9% |
| On the ground | 18 / 32 | 56.2% | 72.3% | 240 / 324 | 74.1% | 72.3% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 13 / 64 | 20.3% | 38.9% | 423 / 1127 | 37.5% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 10 / 14 | too few to rate | 71.9% | 71 / 102 | 69.6% | 71.9% |
| To the legs | 4 / 5 | too few to rate | 81.8% | 83 / 103 | 80.6% | 81.8% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Marrero L/A | Opp acc | Light Heavyweight med | vs Bader L/A | Opp acc | Light Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 35 / 90 | 38.9% | 40.4% | 218 / 905 | 24.1% | 40.4% |
| In the clinch | 9 / 15 | too few to rate | 68.7% | 31 / 54 | 57.4% | 68.7% |
| On the ground | 20 / 34 | 58.8% | 70.4% | 36 / 50 | 72.0% | 70.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 36 / 100 | 36.0% | 37.5% | 179 / 835 | 21.4% | 37.5% |
| To the body | 5 / 8 | too few to rate | 72.3% | 67 / 115 | 58.3% | 72.3% |
| To the legs | 23 / 31 | 74.2% | 83.0% | 39 / 59 | 66.1% | 83.0% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Bader has more cage time on record.