BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Carlston Harris vs.
Shavkat Rakhmonov

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-4-0 Carlston Harris · UFC
7-0-0 Shavkat Rakhmonov · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-4-0
UFC record
7-0-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
39
AgeΔ 8 yrs
31
6'0"
HeightΔ 1"
6'1"
76"
ReachΔ 1"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2.2
Layoff (months)Δ 17.7 mo
19.9
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Shavkat Rakhmonov owns the mat — in control 50% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Shavkat Rakhmonov is a submission threat — 1.20 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Carlston Harris

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 3 — regional circuit 154

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.72 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.4 wins over .500

Shavkat Rakhmonov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 70
Tier 3 — regional circuit 120

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.99 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 19 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +6.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2213.34/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
2443.25/min · norm 3.17
2323.50/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1632.17/min · norm 3.06
42.8%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
60.1%norm 44.9%
51.9%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
51.3%norm 55.25%
20.45/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.20/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Carlston Harris

Distance 90.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 3.3% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.4% (norm 8.1%)

Shavkat Rakhmonov

Distance 63.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 19.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 17.5% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Carlston Harris

Head 76.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 8.4%)

Shavkat Rakhmonov

Head 77.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 2.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Harris L/AAccWelterweight med Rakhmonov L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 181 / 466 38.8% 38.6% 137 / 258 53.1% 38.6%
In the clinch 13 / 17 too few to rate 67.8% 59 / 77 76.6% 67.8%
On the ground 27 / 33 81.8% 67.2% 48 / 71 67.6% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 137 / 396 34.6% 37.2% 170 / 315 54.0% 37.2%
To the body 57 / 88 64.8% 70.7% 64 / 80 80.0% 70.7%
To the legs 27 / 32 84.4% 82.9% 10 / 11 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Harris L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Rakhmonov L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 194 / 423 45.9% 39.0% 131 / 290 45.2% 39.0%
In the clinch 12 / 13 too few to rate 68.9% 27 / 37 73.0% 68.9%
On the ground 26 / 46 56.5% 68.0% 5 / 8 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 162 / 396 40.9% 35.6% 93 / 235 39.6% 35.6%
To the body 46 / 57 80.7% 69.6% 32 / 47 68.1% 69.6%
To the legs 24 / 29 82.8% 82.1% 38 / 53 71.7% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

520.0% acc · 1.13/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
725.9% acc · 1.40/15 · norm 1.27
555.6% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
685.7% def · norm 63.9%
12:3218.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
37:1649.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
21:014:45 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
7:371:31 per 15 · norm 3:15
20.45/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
61.20/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Harris has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.