BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Carlos Ulberg vs.
Tafon Nchukwi

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-1-0 Carlos Ulberg · UFC
2-4-0 Tafon Nchukwi · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-1-0
UFC record
2-4-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
35.7
AgeΔ 3.9 yrs
31.8
6'4"
HeightΔ 4"
6'0"
77"
ReachΔ 0"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.8
Layoff (months)Δ 32 mo
35.8
WWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Carlos Ulberg carries real power — 1.25 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.40 Light Heavyweight norm.
Carlos Ulberg outworks the Light Heavyweight division — 6.61 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.41 norm.
Tafon Nchukwi outworks the Middleweight division — 5.46 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.25 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Carlos Ulberg

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 111
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.2 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 15 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Tafon Nchukwi

Full career not yet synced for Tafon Nchukwi — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5536.61/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
3935.46/min · norm 3.25
3384.04/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
2703.75/min · norm 3.20
56.0%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
54.4%norm 47.4%
50.7%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
54.4%norm 53.8%
71.25/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
10.21/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Carlos Ulberg

Distance 91.8% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 2.7% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 5.5% (norm 10.4%)

Tafon Nchukwi

Distance 79.5% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 18.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Carlos Ulberg

Head 74.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 12.0% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 14.1% (norm 9.7%)

Tafon Nchukwi

Head 64.5% (norm 78.0%) · Body 23.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 11.8% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Ulberg L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Nchukwi L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 488 / 906 53.9% 41.4% 273 / 575 47.5% 40.5%
In the clinch 23 / 27 85.2% 70.9% 107 / 131 81.7% 70.3%
On the ground 42 / 54 77.8% 72.3% 13 / 17 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 338 / 730 46.3% 38.9% 196 / 466 42.1% 38.9%
To the body 90 / 118 76.3% 71.9% 128 / 172 74.4% 71.7%
To the legs 125 / 139 89.9% 81.8% 69 / 85 81.2% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Ulberg L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Nchukwi L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 324 / 663 48.9% 40.4% 231 / 532 43.4% 39.5%
In the clinch 7 / 14 too few to rate 68.7% 12 / 21 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 7 / 8 too few to rate 70.4% 27 / 39 69.2% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 178 / 462 38.5% 37.5% 161 / 455 35.4% 37.9%
To the body 49 / 90 54.4% 72.3% 47 / 65 72.3% 71.3%
To the legs 111 / 133 83.5% 83.0% 62 / 72 86.1% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

360.0% acc · 0.54/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
457.1% acc · 0.83/15 · norm 1.42
685.7% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1164.7% def · norm 63.1%
3:354.3% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
8:2411.7% of cage time · norm 19.75%
0:450:08 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
9:412:01 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.18/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Ulberg has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.