BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Carlos Felipe vs.
Serghei Spivac

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-2-0 Carlos Felipe · UFC
9-6-0 Serghei Spivac · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-2-0
UFC record
9-6-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
31.6
AgeΔ 0.1 yrs
31.5
6'0"
HeightΔ 3"
6'3"
75"
ReachΔ 3"
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
57.6
Layoff (months)Δ 52.2 mo
5.4
LWWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Serghei Spivac hunts takedowns — 3.82 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Serghei Spivac is a submission threat — 0.48 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Carlos Felipe rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Carlos Felipe

Full career not yet synced for Carlos Felipe — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Serghei Spivac

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 96
Tier 3 — regional circuit 90

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.28 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3664.88/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
4483.57/min · norm 3.36
4205.60/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
5314.23/min · norm 3.19
45.5%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
47.8%norm 47.8%
50.6%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
52.2%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Carlos Felipe

Distance 93.0% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 1.2% (norm 9.3%)

Serghei Spivac

Distance 75.6% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 2.8% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 21.6% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Carlos Felipe

Head 79.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 17.7% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 3.4% (norm 7.6%)

Serghei Spivac

Head 96.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 2.1% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 1.3% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Felipe L/AAccHeavyweight med Spivac L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 319 / 748 42.6% 40.1% 275 / 709 38.8% 40.1%
In the clinch 40 / 46 87.0% 70.6% 17 / 26 65.4% 70.6%
On the ground 7 / 10 too few to rate 70.2% 156 / 203 76.8% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 232 / 635 36.5% 38.9% 421 / 906 46.5% 38.9%
To the body 110 / 142 77.5% 76.8% 16 / 20 too few to rate 76.8%
To the legs 24 / 27 88.9% 87.8% 11 / 12 too few to rate 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Felipe L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Spivac L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 377 / 800 47.1% 40.7% 439 / 979 44.8% 40.7%
In the clinch 20 / 25 80.0% 70.6% 43 / 62 69.4% 70.6%
On the ground 23 / 25 92.0% 72.0% 49 / 71 69.0% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 281 / 689 40.8% 38.8% 348 / 889 39.1% 38.8%
To the body 60 / 77 77.9% 75.1% 113 / 151 74.8% 75.1%
To the legs 79 / 84 94.0% 84.4% 70 / 72 97.2% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
3259.3% acc · 3.82/15 · norm 0.95
872.7% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
763.6% def · norm 64.3%
3:334.7% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
41:1332.8% of cage time · norm 17.2%
9:581:59 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
15:231:50 per 15 · norm 2:28
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
40.48/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Spivac has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.