BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Carlo Prater vs.
TJ Grant

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-2-0 Carlo Prater · UFC
8-3-0 TJ Grant · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-2-0
UFC record
8-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
45.1
AgeΔ 2.7 yrs
42.4
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
72"
ReachΔ 0"
72"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
166
Layoff (months)Δ 7.6 mo
158.4
LLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Carlo Prater is a submission threat — 1.97 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Carlo Prater rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
TJ Grant carries real power — 0.58 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Carlo Prater

Full career not yet synced for Carlo Prater — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

TJ Grant

Full career not yet synced for TJ Grant — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

692.26/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
5103.95/min · norm 3.17
1294.23/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
4153.21/min · norm 3.06
49.3%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
54.0%norm 44.9%
35.5%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
56.9%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
50.58/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Carlo Prater

Distance 57.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 41.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 0.7% (norm 8.0%)

TJ Grant

Distance 70.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 20.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 9.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Carlo Prater

Head 42.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 39.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 17.9% (norm 7.9%)

TJ Grant

Head 73.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.8% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Prater L/AAccLightweight med Grant L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 30 / 81 37.0% 37.9% 315 / 663 47.5% 38.6%
In the clinch 39 / 58 67.2% 67.3% 141 / 196 71.9% 67.8%
On the ground 0 / 1 too few to rate 69.1% 54 / 85 63.5% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 14 / 60 23.3% 35.0% 298 / 693 43.0% 37.2%
To the body 32 / 55 58.2% 69.1% 154 / 187 82.4% 70.7%
To the legs 23 / 25 92.0% 81.9% 58 / 64 90.6% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Prater L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Grant L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 45 / 102 44.1% 38.9% 285 / 723 39.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 66 / 76 86.8% 68.6% 32 / 59 54.2% 68.9%
On the ground 18 / 22 too few to rate 68.0% 98 / 180 54.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 47 / 107 43.9% 35.1% 323 / 836 38.6% 35.6%
To the body 37 / 43 86.0% 68.1% 43 / 71 60.6% 69.6%
To the legs 45 / 50 90.0% 81.5% 49 / 55 89.1% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1443.8% acc · 1.63/15 · norm 1.27
857.1% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1436.8% def · norm 63.9%
2:479.1% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
32:0724.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
15:277:36 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
47:295:30 per 15 · norm 3:15
41.97/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
50.58/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Grant has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.