BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Carla Esparza vs.
Yan Xiaonan

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-6-0 Carla Esparza · UFC
9-4-0 Yan Xiaonan · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-6-0
UFC record
9-4-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
38
AgeΔ 1 yrs
37
5'1"
HeightΔ 4"
5'5"
63"
ReachΔ 0"
63"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
22
Layoff (months)Δ 6.2 mo
15.8
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Carla Esparza hunts takedowns — 3.28 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Carla Esparza owns the mat — in control 28% of cage time, vs a 19% Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Carla Esparza

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 108
Tier 3 — regional circuit 90

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.0 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Yan Xiaonan

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 94
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.14 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4922.19/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
9164.69/min · norm 3.77
6442.87/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
6313.23/min · norm 3.94
39.5%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
45.1%norm 44.5%
54.4%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
60.3%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
20.15/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Carla Esparza

Distance 75.0% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 16.5% (norm 5.0%)

Yan Xiaonan

Distance 91.7% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 5.1% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Carla Esparza

Head 86.0% (norm 76.4%) · Body 8.1% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 9.1%)

Yan Xiaonan

Head 78.6% (norm 76.4%) · Body 8.7% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 12.7% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Esparza L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Xiaonan L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 280 / 935 29.9% 38.3% 793 / 1862 42.6% 38.3%
In the clinch 63 / 106 59.4% 72.6% 69 / 103 67.0% 72.6%
On the ground 149 / 206 72.3% 75.0% 54 / 65 83.1% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 363 / 1072 33.9% 35.4% 599 / 1596 37.5% 35.4%
To the body 71 / 101 70.3% 69.3% 121 / 177 68.4% 69.3%
To the legs 58 / 74 78.4% 77.9% 196 / 257 76.3% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Esparza L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Xiaonan L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 409 / 1103 37.1% 39.7% 461 / 1367 33.7% 39.7%
In the clinch 53 / 87 60.9% 71.5% 55 / 86 64.0% 71.5%
On the ground 182 / 222 82.0% 74.4% 115 / 135 85.2% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 473 / 1195 39.6% 36.0% 445 / 1307 34.0% 36.0%
To the body 90 / 119 75.6% 68.4% 113 / 173 65.3% 68.4%
To the legs 81 / 98 82.7% 79.1% 73 / 108 67.6% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

4936.3% acc · 3.28/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
1173.3% acc · 0.84/15 · norm 1.10
1747.2% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
3764.9% def · norm 64.1%
63:2828.3% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
15:518.1% of cage time · norm 19.4%
32:352:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
57:274:24 per 15 · norm 3:00
40.27/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Esparza has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.