BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Carl Deaton vs.
Joe Solecki

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-2-0 Carl Deaton · UFC
5-4-0 Joe Solecki · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-2-0
UFC record
5-4-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
36
AgeΔ 4 yrs
32
5'7"
HeightΔ 2"
5'9"
69"
ReachΔ 1"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
36.7
Layoff (months)Δ 17.9 mo
18.8
LL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Joe Solecki is a submission threat — 1.28 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Joe Solecki owns the mat — in control 44% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Carl Deaton rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Carl Deaton

Full career not yet synced for Carl Deaton — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Joe Solecki

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 64
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 62

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.99 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 19 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

381.53/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
2021.92/min · norm 3.42
461.85/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2001.90/min · norm 3.37
31.7%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
53.3%norm 43.5%
61.3%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
50.5%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Carl Deaton

Distance 98.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 1.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 8.0%)

Joe Solecki

Distance 74.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 21.1% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Carl Deaton

Head 89.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 7.9%)

Joe Solecki

Head 89.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 5.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.0% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Deaton L/AAccLightweight med Solecki L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 37 / 118 31.4% 37.9% 123 / 281 43.8% 37.9%
In the clinch 1 / 2 too few to rate 67.3% 13 / 18 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.1% 66 / 80 82.5% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 30 / 107 28.0% 35.0% 169 / 338 50.0% 35.0%
To the body 8 / 13 too few to rate 69.1% 15 / 22 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 0 / 0 too few to rate 81.9% 18 / 19 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Deaton L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Solecki L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 28 / 93 30.1% 38.9% 115 / 284 40.5% 38.9%
In the clinch 3 / 5 too few to rate 68.6% 24 / 26 92.3% 68.6%
On the ground 15 / 21 too few to rate 68.0% 61 / 94 64.9% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 38 / 105 36.2% 35.1% 138 / 322 42.9% 35.1%
To the body 6 / 12 too few to rate 68.1% 41 / 55 74.5% 68.1%
To the legs 2 / 2 too few to rate 81.5% 21 / 27 77.8% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1446.7% acc · 1.99/15 · norm 1.38
550.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
114.3% def · norm 64.0%
0:000.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
45:5743.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
12:457:40 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
34:504:57 per 15 · norm 2:46
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
91.28/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Solecki has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.