BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Caio Machado vs.
Mick Parkin

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-3-0 Caio Machado · UFC
4-1-0 Mick Parkin · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-3-0
UFC record
4-1-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
32
AgeΔ 1.2 yrs
30.8
6'4"
HeightΔ 0"
6'4"
78"
ReachΔ 1"
79"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
21.1
Layoff (months)Δ 4.6 mo
16.5
LLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Caio Machado rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Caio Machado outworks the Heavyweight division — 5.07 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.36 norm.
Mick Parkin outworks the Heavyweight division — 4.73 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.36 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Caio Machado

Full career not yet synced for Caio Machado — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.7 wins over .500

Mick Parkin

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 51
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.74 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 11 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2285.07/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
3004.73/min · norm 3.36
1553.44/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
2544.01/min · norm 3.19
48.0%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
49.9%norm 47.8%
62.4%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
59.7%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
10.24/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Caio Machado

Distance 97.5% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 2.1% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 0.4% (norm 9.3%)

Mick Parkin

Distance 92.2% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 2.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Caio Machado

Head 65.7% (norm 79.2%) · Body 22.3% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 12.0% (norm 7.6%)

Mick Parkin

Head 78.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 5.0% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 16.8% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Machado L/AAccHeavyweight med Parkin L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 219 / 463 47.3% 40.1% 274 / 554 49.5% 40.1%
In the clinch 7 / 10 too few to rate 70.6% 12 / 15 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 2 / 2 too few to rate 70.2% 14 / 32 43.8% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 98 / 312 31.4% 38.9% 183 / 470 38.9% 38.9%
To the body 82 / 106 77.4% 76.8% 23 / 30 76.7% 76.8%
To the legs 48 / 57 84.2% 87.8% 94 / 101 93.1% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Machado L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Parkin L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 150 / 403 37.2% 40.7% 239 / 609 39.2% 40.7%
In the clinch 3 / 5 too few to rate 70.6% 13 / 20 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 2 / 4 too few to rate 72.0% 2 / 2 too few to rate 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 100 / 324 30.9% 38.8% 129 / 466 27.7% 38.8%
To the body 36 / 57 63.2% 75.1% 90 / 129 69.8% 75.1%
To the legs 19 / 31 61.3% 84.4% 35 / 36 97.2% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
436.4% acc · 0.95/15 · norm 0.95
770.0% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
375.0% def · norm 64.3%
0:220.8% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
10:0816.0% of cage time · norm 17.2%
6:592:19 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
2:380:37 per 15 · norm 2:28
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Parkin has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.