BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Caio Borralho vs.
Makhmud Muradov

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-1-0 Caio Borralho · UFC
4-2-0 (1 NC) Makhmud Muradov · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-1-0
UFC record
4-2-0 (1 NC)
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
33
AgeΔ 3 yrs
36
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
75"
ReachΔ 0"
75"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5
Layoff (months)Δ 25.1 mo
30.1
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
NCWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Makhmud Muradov hunts takedowns — 3.03 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Makhmud Muradov carries real power — 0.57 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Caio Borralho owns the mat — in control 27% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Caio Borralho

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 101
Tier 3 — regional circuit 81

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.59 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Makhmud Muradov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 43
Tier 3 — regional circuit 265

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.84 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 21 finish wins over 39 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4593.30/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
3334.21/min · norm 3.25
3662.63/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
2032.57/min · norm 3.20
55.1%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
43.9%norm 47.4%
59.8%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
61.0%norm 53.8%
30.32/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
30.57/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Caio Borralho

Distance 88.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 2.5% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 8.9% (norm 10.3%)

Makhmud Muradov

Distance 92.2% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 4.6% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Caio Borralho

Head 71.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 17.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 11.0% (norm 8.4%)

Makhmud Muradov

Head 79.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 17.7% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 3.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Borralho L/AAccMiddleweight med Muradov L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 378 / 738 51.2% 40.5% 302 / 699 43.2% 40.5%
In the clinch 17 / 21 too few to rate 70.3% 19 / 35 54.3% 70.3%
On the ground 64 / 74 86.5% 69.1% 12 / 24 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 298 / 595 50.1% 38.9% 219 / 601 36.4% 38.9%
To the body 84 / 146 57.5% 71.7% 94 / 134 70.1% 71.7%
To the legs 77 / 92 83.7% 83.3% 20 / 23 too few to rate 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Borralho L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Muradov L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 331 / 861 38.4% 39.5% 186 / 499 37.3% 39.5%
In the clinch 11 / 12 too few to rate 70.9% 8 / 13 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 24 / 38 63.2% 69.0% 9 / 9 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 201 / 653 30.8% 37.9% 134 / 414 32.4% 37.9%
To the body 89 / 156 57.1% 71.3% 20 / 41 48.8% 71.3%
To the legs 76 / 102 74.5% 82.1% 49 / 66 74.2% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1045.5% acc · 1.08/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
1666.7% acc · 3.03/15 · norm 1.42
1473.7% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
1477.8% def · norm 63.1%
37:1826.9% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
11:1014.1% of cage time · norm 19.75%
10:231:07 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
7:401:27 per 15 · norm 3:00
40.43/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
10.19/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Borralho has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.