BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Cain Velasquez vs.
Francis Ngannou

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

12-3-0 Cain Velasquez · UFC
12-2-0 Francis Ngannou · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

12-3-0
UFC record
12-2-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
44
AgeΔ 4.1 yrs
39.9
6'1"
HeightΔ 3"
6'4"
77"
ReachΔ 6"
83"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
89.6
Layoff (months)Δ 35.2 mo
54.4
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Cain Velasquez hunts takedowns — 4.59 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Cain Velasquez carries real power — 1.35 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Francis Ngannou carries real power — 1.22 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Cain Velasquez

Full career not yet synced for Cain Velasquez — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 8-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Francis Ngannou

Full career not yet synced for Francis Ngannou — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 8-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7196.48/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
2292.33/min · norm 3.36
2662.40/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
2122.16/min · norm 3.19
57.6%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
41.3%norm 47.8%
57.6%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
41.9%norm 52.5%
101.35/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
81.22/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Cain Velasquez

Distance 48.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 21.8% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 30.1% (norm 9.3%)

Francis Ngannou

Distance 79.5% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 8.6% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 11.9% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Cain Velasquez

Head 83.7% (norm 79.2%) · Body 7.1% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 9.1% (norm 7.6%)

Francis Ngannou

Head 82.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 11.5% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 6.5% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Velasquez L/AAccHeavyweight med Ngannou L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 260 / 601 43.3% 40.1% 150 / 441 34.0% 40.1%
In the clinch 195 / 272 71.7% 70.6% 36 / 48 75.0% 70.6%
On the ground 264 / 376 70.2% 70.2% 43 / 66 65.2% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 542 / 1046 51.8% 38.9% 156 / 455 34.3% 38.9%
To the body 77 / 89 86.5% 76.8% 41 / 64 64.1% 76.8%
To the legs 100 / 114 87.7% 87.8% 32 / 36 88.9% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Velasquez L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Ngannou L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 186 / 506 36.8% 40.7% 168 / 306 54.9% 40.7%
In the clinch 69 / 106 65.1% 70.6% 16 / 21 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 11 / 16 too few to rate 72.0% 28 / 38 73.7% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 196 / 532 36.8% 38.8% 92 / 210 43.8% 38.8%
To the body 60 / 85 70.6% 75.1% 46 / 67 68.7% 75.1%
To the legs 10 / 11 too few to rate 84.4% 74 / 88 84.1% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3442.0% acc · 4.59/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
562.5% acc · 0.76/15 · norm 0.95
975.0% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
2871.8% def · norm 64.3%
67:0260.4% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
11:4311.9% of cage time · norm 17.2%
3:570:32 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
24:363:45 per 15 · norm 2:28
30.41/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
20.31/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Velasquez has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.